vs BOS (Mar 30, 1977)vs STL (Apr 3, 1977) ›

April 2, 1977

Maple Leaf Gardens | Toronto

BUF 11 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
TOR1001
Shots on goal BUF 26, TOR 29
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 1-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .966
TOR M. Palmateer .962
TURNING POINT
J. Korab goal (P3 14:28), Sabres win chance rises from 11% to 52%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Korab
1 (1G)
POINTS
G. Korab
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.966 (28/29)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:28J. Korab (14) 11% to 52%+41
  2. P1 18:02B. Neely (16) 54% to 34%-20
  3. P3 10:53Tripping on Pat Boutette, 2 min 16% to 22%+6
  4. P2 20:00Slashing on Randy Carlyle, 2 min 21% to 25%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no
No
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
1
0
1
0
4
5
0.8
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#19 A. Tidey (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
Total
1
1
2
16
26
2.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#29 D. Edwards291.9662.160:00T

Team Stats

BUFTOR
26Shots on Goal29
0PPG0
16Penalty Minutes14

Full Game Log

1ST
18:02GOAL (TOR): Bob Neely (16), assists: Inge Hammarstrom, Don Ashby
3RD
14:28GOAL (BUF): Jerry Korab (14), assists: Jim Lorentz
vs BOS (Mar 30, 1977)vs STL (Apr 3, 1977) ›