@ TOR (Apr 2, 1977)

April 3, 1977

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

STL 37 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs STL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
STL1203
BUF2147
Shots on goal STL 25, BUF 33W D. EdwardsL E. Staniowski
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .880
STL E. Staniowski .788
TURNING POINT
J. Guevremont goal (P3 7:52), Sabres win chance rises from 63% to 88%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Robert
4 (3G-1A)
POINTS
C. Ramsay
6
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.880 (22/25)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 67%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 07:52J. Guevremont (9) 63% to 88%+25
  2. P2 06:10J. Butler (12) 82% to 63%-19
  3. P1 17:51R. Robert (31) 65% to 81%+16
  4. P1 02:23J. Lorentz (23) 67% to 81%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#14 R. Robert (RW)
3
1
4
+5
0
5
3.3
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
3
4
+5
0
2
2.9
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
1
3
4
+5
0
2
2.7
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
2
3
+5
0
6
2.5
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
1
1
+4
2
1
0.5
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
2
0.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
0
4
3
-0.1
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
7
13
20
13
33
15.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#29 D. Edwards253.8800.060:00W

Team Stats

STLBUF
25Shots on Goal33
1PPG1
14Penalty Minutes15

Full Game Log

1ST
02:23GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (23), assists: Terry Martin, Bill Hajt
03:24GOAL (STL): Bernie Federko (13), assists: James Masters
17:51GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (31), assists: Craig Ramsay, Jocelyn Guevremont
2ND
00:41GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (32), assists: Don Luce, Craig Ramsay
03:32GOAL (STL): Bernie Federko (14), assists: Rick Bourbonnais, Rod Seiling
06:10GOAL (STL): Jerry Butler (12), assists: Red Berenson, Chuck Lefley
3RD
07:52GOAL (BUF): Jocelyn Guevremont (9), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Andre Savard
10:11GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (33), assists: Don Luce, Jocelyn Guevremont
14:19GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (26), assists: Jocelyn Guevremont
19:32GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (20), assists: Rene Robert, Don Luce
@ TOR (Apr 2, 1977)