@ TOR (Oct 15, 1977) ›

October 13, 1977

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

NYI 23 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI1012
BUF1203
Shots on goal NYI 27, BUF 30W D. EdwardsL B. Smith
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .926
NYI B. Smith .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 4
NYI 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Lorentz goal (P2 6:34), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 74%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Robert
2 (2G)
POINTS
R. Robert
6
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.926 (25/27)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 06:34J. Lorentz (1) 53% to 74%+21
  2. P1 09:24M. Bossy (1) 71% to 53%-18
  3. P1 08:55R. Robert (1) 54% to 71%+17
  4. P2 13:30R. Robert (2) 76% to 90%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
2
2
+1
0
5
1.6
#14 R. Robert (RW)
2
0
2
+1
2
6
1.8
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.6
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#26 A. Tidey (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
Total
3
4
7
14
30
5.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards272.9261.060:00W

Team Stats

NYIBUF
27Shots on Goal30
4Power Play Chances4
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG2
14Penalty Minutes14

Full Game Log

1ST
08:55GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (1), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Rick Martin
09:24GOAL (NYI): Mike Bossy (1), assists: Clark Gillies, Bryan Trottier
2ND
06:34GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (1), assists: Rick Martin, Jim Schoenfeld
13:30GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (2), unassisted
3RD
13:37GOAL (NYI): Denis Potvin (1), unassisted
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