vs NYI (Oct 13, 1977)vs CHI (Oct 16, 1977) ›

October 15, 1977

Maple Leaf Gardens | Toronto

BUF 52 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0325
TOR1102
Shots on goal BUF 30, TOR 41W D. EdwardsL M. Palmateer
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .951
TOR M. Palmateer .862
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
TOR 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
R. Martin goal (P2 9:27), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 70%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Perreault
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
R. Martin
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.951 (39/41)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 09:27R. Martin (1) 48% to 70%+22
  2. P2 09:13D. Sittler (1) 70% to 48%-22
  3. P2 06:22G. Perreault (1) 49% to 69%+20
  4. P2 03:02A. Savard (1) 27% to 47%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.6
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.8
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0.8
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
5
0.9
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
Total
5
7
12
6
30
10.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards412.9512.460:00W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
30Shots on Goal41
3Power Play Chances3
33%PP%33%
67%PK%67%
1PPG1
6Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
02:54GOAL (TOR): Pat Boutette (3), unassisted
2ND
03:02GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (1), assists: Gary McAdam, Ric Seiling
06:22GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (1), assists: Fred Stanfield
09:13GOAL (TOR): Darryl Sittler (1), assists: Lanny McDonald, Borje Salming
09:27GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (1), assists: Rene Robert, Gilbert Perreault
3RD
00:23GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (1), assists: Bill Hajt, Jocelyn Guevremont
19:56GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (1), unassisted
vs NYI (Oct 13, 1977)vs CHI (Oct 16, 1977) ›