@ NYR (Dec 31, 1977)vs CLR (Jan 5, 1978) ›

January 1, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

AFM 22 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
AFM1102
BUF0112
Shots on goal AFM 25, BUF 26
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 2-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .920
AFM D. Bouchard .923
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
AFM 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
B. Hajt goal (P3 14:29), Sabres win chance rises from 13% to 55%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
W. Hajt
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Gare
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 63%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:29B. Hajt (1) 13% to 55%+42
  2. P2 16:49D. Shand (1) 59% to 32%-27
  3. P2 15:01R. Seiling (8) 33% to 59%+26
  4. P1 16:29R. Comeau (4) 61% to 42%-19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#24 W. Hajt (D)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.4
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
1
0
1
-1
2
4
0.9
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
1.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
+2
2
1
-0.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#21 R. Schock (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
Total
2
4
6
6
26
5.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards252.9200.860:00T

Team Stats

AFMBUF
25Shots on Goal26
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
16:29GOAL (AFM): Rey Comeau (4), assists: Bobby Lalonde
2ND
15:01GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (8), assists: Danny Gare, Bill Hajt
16:49GOAL (AFM): Dave Shand (1), assists: Bob MacMillan, Tom Lysiak
3RD
14:29GOAL (BUF): Bill Hajt (1), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Lee Fogolin
@ NYR (Dec 31, 1977)vs CLR (Jan 5, 1978) ›