‹ vs AFM (Jan 1, 1978)@ WSH (Jan 7, 1978) ›

January 5, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

CLR 3 – 5 BUF

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
CLR	2	1	0	3
BUF	2	1	2	5

Shots on goal CLR 28, BUF 44W D. EdwardsL B. McKenzie

Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-3.

IN NET: Buffalo D. Edwards .893
CLR B. McKenzie .907
POWER PLAY: Buffalo 0 of 2
CLR 1 of 3
TURNING POINT: J. Lorentz goal (P3 11:24), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 89%
WIN DNA: 2 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

D. Gare

2 (2G)

POINTS

J. Lorentz

SHOTS

D. Edwards

.893 (25/28)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 64%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P3 11:24J. Lorentz (2) 56% to 89%+33
P2 14:28J. Contini (2) 82% to 60%-22
P2 13:44R. Schock (1) 60% to 81%+21
P1 19:39D. Gare (17) 42% to 62%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game

Yes

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no

Scored first

Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

too few games to split

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#18 D. Gare (RW)	2	0	2	+1	2	6	1.8
#7 R. Martin (LW)	0	1	1	0	0	5	1.1
#8 J. Lorentz (C)	1	0	1	+2	2	6	1.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)	0	1	1	+1	0	4	1.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)	0	1	1	+2	2	3	0.8
#15 G. McAdam (RW)	1	0	1	+2	0	3	1.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.6
#20 D. Luce (C)	0	1	1	+1	0	3	0.9
#21 R. Schock (C)	1	0	1	+1	0	3	1.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)	0	1	1	+3	2	2	0.6
#24 W. Hajt (D)	0	1	1	+3	0	1	0.6
#12 A. Savard (C)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#19 D. Smith (C)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)	0	0	0	0	0	5	0.4
#29 R. Dunn (D)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
Total	5	7	12		8	44	10.9

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#1 D. Edwards	28	3	–	.893	–	0.3	60:00	W

Team Stats

CLRBUF

28Shots on Goal44

3Power Play Chances2

33%PP%0%

100%PK%67%

1PPG0

6Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST

03:34GOAL (CLR): Joe Contini (1), assists: John Van Boxmeer, Barry Beck

09:57GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (10), unassisted

17:56GOAL (CLR): Paul Gardner (27), assists: John Van Boxmeer, Barry Beck

19:39GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (17), assists: Craig Ramsay, Bill Hajt

2ND

13:44GOAL (BUF): Ron Schock (1), assists: Rick Martin, Ric Seiling

14:28GOAL (CLR): Joe Contini (2), assists: John Van Boxmeer, Ron Andruff

3RD

11:24GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (2), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Lee Fogolin

19:51GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (18), assists: Don Luce

‹ vs AFM (Jan 1, 1978)@ WSH (Jan 7, 1978) ›