vs CLR (Jan 5, 1978)vs BOS (Jan 8, 1978) ›

January 7, 1978

Capital Centre | Landover

BUF 44 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3014
WSH1124
Shots on goal BUF 28, WSH 26
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 4-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .846
WSH J. Bedard .857
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 2
WSH 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
R. Seiling goal (P3 15:09), Sabres win chance rises from 12% to 55%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
D. Gare
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.846 (22/26)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 64%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 15:09R. Seiling (9) 12% to 55%+43
  2. P3 13:42G. Charron (16) 56% to 14%-42
  3. P3 08:57T. Rowe (6) 87% to 57%-30
  4. P1 04:08G. Meehan (8) 64% to 46%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
2
3
+1
0
5
2.4
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.5
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
1
0
1
-1
2
2
0.8
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
-3
0
0
0.7
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
1
1
+2
4
3
0.5
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#21 R. Schock (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
-4
0
3
0.2
Total
4
8
12
6
28
9.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards264.846-0.860:00T

Team Stats

BUFWSH
28Shots on Goal26
2Power Play Chances2
100%PP%0%
100%PK%0%
2PPG0
6Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
04:08GOAL (WSH): Gerry Meehan (8), assists: Larry Bolonchuk, Tom Rowe
08:08GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (11), assists: Danny Gare, Fred Stanfield
11:24GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (18), assists: Jerry Korab, Danny Gare
15:26GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (19), assists: Bill Hajt, Craig Ramsay
2ND
02:04GOAL (WSH): Bob Girard (3), assists: Jean Lemieux
3RD
08:57GOAL (WSH): Tom Rowe (6), assists: Dave Forbes, Gord Lane
13:42GOAL (WSH): Guy Charron (16), unassisted
15:09GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (9), assists: Craig Ramsay, Lee Fogolin
vs CLR (Jan 5, 1978)vs BOS (Jan 8, 1978) ›