@ MNS (Oct 14, 1978) ›

October 12, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

NYI 2 – 2 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI0112
BUF0112
Shots on goal NYI 20, BUF 34
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and tied 2-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .900
NYI B. Smith .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NYI 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Smith goal (P3 17:10), Sabres win chance rises from 6% to 51%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. McKegney
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Edwards
.900 (18/20)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:10D. Smith (1) 6% to 51%+45
  2. P3 11:47C. Gillies (1) 52% to 15%-37
  3. P2 08:55M. Bossy (1) 74% to 53%-21
  4. P2 04:59T. McKegney (1) 53% to 73%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.2
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
#19 D. Smith (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
+1
4
3
0.5
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
Total
2
4
6
10
34
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#1 D. Edwards202–.900–0.360:00T

Team Stats

NYIBUF
20Shots on Goal34
5Power Play Chances4
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
10Penalty Minutes12

Full Game Log

2ND
04:59GOAL (BUF): Tony McKegney (1), assists: Danny Gare, Gilbert Perreault
08:55GOAL (NYI): Mike Bossy (1), assists: Bryan Trottier, Stefan Persson
3RD
11:47GOAL (NYI): Clark Gillies (1), assists: Mike Bossy, Stefan Persson
17:10GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (1), assists: Bill Stewart, Jerry Korab
@ MNS (Oct 14, 1978) ›