‹ vs NYI (Oct 12, 1978)vs DET (Oct 15, 1978) ›

October 14, 1978

Metropolitan Sports Center | Bloomington

BUF 5 – 2 MNS

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
BUF	2	1	2	5
MNS	0	1	1	2

Shots on goal BUF 33, MNS 44W D. EdwardsL G. Meloche

Summary

MNS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET: Buffalo D. Edwards .955
MNS G. Meloche .848
POWER PLAY: Buffalo 1 of 3
MNS 0 of 6
TURNING POINT: J. Richard goal (P1 3:44), Sabres win chance rises from 64% to 79%
WIN DNA: 4 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

R. Martin

2 (1G-1A)

POINTS

D. Gare

SHOTS

D. Edwards

.955 (42/44)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P1 03:44J. Richard (1) 64% to 79%+15
P1 03:27R. Martin (1) 51% to 64%+13
P2 04:35D. Gare (1) 85% to 94%+9
P2 19:58J. Parise (1) 98% to 91%-7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game

Yes

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no

Yes

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no

Yes

Scored first

Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)	1	1	2	+1	0	3	1.7
#9 J. Richard (LW)	1	1	2	+1	0	4	1.6
#5 L. Fogolin (D)	0	2	2	+1	0	2	1.4
#11 G. Perreault (C)	0	1	1	+2	0	3	0.9
#16 R. Seiling (RW)	1	0	1	+1	0	2	0.9
#18 D. Gare (RW)	1	0	1	+1	2	5	1.0
#19 D. Smith (C)	0	1	1	-1	0	4	1.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)	1	0	1	0	2	2	0.8
#4 G. Korab (D)	0	1	1	+2	4	3	0.5
#8 T. McKegney (LW)	0	0	0	+1	0	0	0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)	0	0	0	0	2	2	0.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)	0	0	0	0	2	1	-0.1
#29 R. Dunn (D)	0	0	0	+1	0	0	0.0
Total	5	7	12		12	33	9.8

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#1 D. Edwards	44	2	–	.955	–	2.7	60:00	W

Team Stats

BUFMNS

33Shots on Goal44

3Power Play Chances6

33%PP%0%

100%PK%67%

1PPG0

12Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST

03:27GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (1), assists: Derek Smith, Jacques Richard

03:44GOAL (BUF): Jacques Richard (1), unassisted

2ND

04:35GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (1), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Lee Fogolin

19:58GOAL (MNS): J.P. Parise (1), assists: Fred Barrett, Per-Olov Brasar

3RD

02:07GOAL (BUF): Terry Martin (1), assists: Lee Fogolin, Jerry Korab

10:00GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (1), assists: Rick Martin

18:26GOAL (MNS): Kent-Erik Andersson (1), assists: Greg Smith, Tim Young

‹ vs NYI (Oct 12, 1978)vs DET (Oct 15, 1978) ›