@ MNS (Oct 14, 1978)@ TOR (Oct 18, 1978) ›

October 15, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

DET 32 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
DET1203
BUF0112
Shots on goal DET 34, BUF 27W R. VachonL D. Edwards
Summary

DET had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .912
DET R. Vachon .926
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
DET 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
T. McKegney goal (P2 0:44), Sabres win chance rises from 35% to 55%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Edwards
.912 (31/34)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 00:44T. McKegney (2) 35% to 55%+20
  2. P2 02:53D. McCourt (2) 53% to 34%-19
  3. P2 14:02E. Thompson (1) 30% to 13%-17
  4. P1 16:15D. Labraaten (2) 52% to 36%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.6
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.8
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.7
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.3
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
2
3
5
8
27
4.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards343.9120.960:00L

Team Stats

DETBUF
34Shots on Goal27
3Power Play Chances5
67%PP%0%
100%PK%33%
2PPG0
12Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST
16:15GOAL (DET): Dan Labraaten (2), assists: Errol Thompson, Andre St. Laurent
2ND
00:44GOAL (BUF): Tony McKegney (2), assists: Danny Gare, Gilbert Perreault
02:53GOAL (DET): Dale McCourt (2), assists: Dan Labraaten, Reed Larson
14:02GOAL (DET): Errol Thompson (1), assists: Andre St. Laurent, Thommie Bergman
3RD
18:20GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (2), assists: Rick Martin
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