@ LAK (Oct 26, 1978)@ PHI (Nov 2, 1978) ›

October 28, 1978

St. Louis Arena | St. Louis

BUF 77 STL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs STL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3227
STL1247
Shots on goal BUF 40, STL 34
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and tied 7-7.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .794
STL L. Myre .889
STL D. Grant .250
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 4
STL 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
B. Hess goal (P3 13:31), Sabres win chance drops from 88% to 49%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Luce
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
D. Luce
7
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.794 (27/34)
SAVE %

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFSTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 13:31B. Hess (1) 88% to 49%-39
  2. P3 13:56Fighting on Bill Stewart, 5 min 49% to 30%-19
  3. P3 13:56Fighting on Brian Sutter, 5 min 30% to 49%+19
  4. P1 02:14D. Gare (3) 48% to 64%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#20 D. Luce (C)
2
2
4
+2
0
7
3.4
#7 R. Martin (LW)
3
0
3
-1
2
5
2.5
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.4
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
1
2
+1
5
5
1.5
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
3
0.9
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
1
1
-2
0
3
0.9
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.4
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#24 W. Hajt (D)
1
0
1
-1
2
3
0.8
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.9
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
-1
7
0
-0.3
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
Total
7
10
17
20
40
13.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#28 R. Sauve347.794-2.560:00T

Team Stats

BUFSTL
40Shots on Goal34
4Power Play Chances5
50%PP%20%
80%PK%50%
2PPG1
20Penalty Minutes18

Full Game Log

1ST
02:14GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (3), assists: Don Luce, Craig Ramsay
05:58GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (2), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Jocelyn Guevremont
10:00GOAL (BUF): Bill Hajt (1), assists: Don Luce
18:30GOAL (STL): Doug Palazzari (2), assists: Curt Bennett, Bob Hess
2ND
03:25GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (3), unassisted
06:20GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (1), assists: Craig Ramsay
09:07GOAL (STL): Rick Bowness (1), assists: Larry Giroux
19:09GOAL (STL): Wayne Babych (8), assists: Bernie Federko
3RD
01:10GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (4), assists: Ric Seiling, Lee Fogolin
02:34GOAL (STL): Garry Unger (5), assists: Mike Walton, Inge Hammarstrom
05:36GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (2), assists: Richie Dunn, Danny Gare
07:42GOAL (STL): Brian Sutter (11), assists: Wayne Babych, Bernie Federko
12:02GOAL (STL): Garry Unger (6), assists: Mike Walton, Inge Hammarstrom
13:31GOAL (STL): Bob Hess (1), assists: Doug Palazzari, Curt Bennett
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