@ STL (Oct 28, 1978)@ MNS (Nov 4, 1978) ›

November 2, 1978

Spectrum | Philadelphia

BUF 33 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0123
PHI1113
Shots on goal BUF 29, PHI 42
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 3-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .929
PHI B. Parent .897
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
PHI 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. Ramsay goal (P3 10:39), Sabres win chance rises from 14% to 48%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
R. Martin
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.929 (39/42)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 10:39C. Ramsay (2) 14% to 48%+34
  2. P2 17:12R. MacLeish (5) 47% to 23%-24
  3. P2 01:54R. Martin (5) 28% to 46%+18
  4. P1 03:50B. Barber (6) 48% to 32%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
1
2
-1
0
5
1.7
#4 G. Korab (D)
1
1
2
+1
4
3
1.2
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
1
1
0
2
5
0.9
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
0
0
5
1.1
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
Total
3
6
9
10
29
7.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards423.9291.759:36T

Team Stats

BUFPHI
29Shots on Goal42
7Power Play Chances5
29%PP%20%
80%PK%71%
2PPG1
10Penalty Minutes14

Full Game Log

1ST
03:50GOAL (PHI): Bill Barber (6), assists: Bobby Clarke
2ND
01:54GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (5), assists: Jocelyn Guevremont, Jerry Korab
17:12GOAL (PHI): Rick MacLeish (5), assists: Paul Holmgren, Mel Bridgman
3RD
04:04GOAL (PHI): Reggie Leach (2), assists: Bobby Clarke, Bill Barber
07:59GOAL (BUF): Jerry Korab (1), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Rick Martin
10:39GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (2), assists: Lee Fogolin, Danny Gare
@ STL (Oct 28, 1978)@ MNS (Nov 4, 1978) ›