@ PHI (Nov 2, 1978)vs MNS (Nov 5, 1978) ›

November 4, 1978

Metropolitan Sports Center | Bloomington

BUF 12 MNS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MNS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
MNS2002
Shots on goal BUF 32, MNS 32W G. MelocheL D. Edwards
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .938
MNS G. Meloche .969
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
MNS 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
R. Zanussi goal (P1 1:38), Sabres win chance drops from 44% to 29%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Seiling
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Gare
8
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMNS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:38R. Zanussi (4) 44% to 29%-15
  2. P2 08:08R. Seiling (3) 11% to 25%+14
  3. P1 05:31K. Andersson (3) 28% to 16%-12
  4. P3 12:42Cross checking on Tim Young, 2 min 8% to 12%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
3
0.8
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
8
0.6
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
-0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
Total
1
2
3
6
32
4.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards322.9381.559:57L

Team Stats

BUFMNS
32Shots on Goal32
1Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

1ST
01:38GOAL (MNS): Ron Zanussi (4), assists: Tim Young, Per-Olov Brasar
05:31GOAL (MNS): Kent-Erik Andersson (3), assists: Mike Polich, Greg Smith
2ND
08:08GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (3), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Jerry Korab
@ PHI (Nov 2, 1978)vs MNS (Nov 5, 1978) ›