@ WSH (Nov 11, 1978)@ TOR (Nov 15, 1978) ›

November 12, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

BOS 44 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS1214
BUF2204
Shots on goal BOS 33, BUF 20
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 4-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .879
BOS G. Cheevers .800
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 6
BOS 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Marcotte goal (P3 4:32), Sabres win chance drops from 81% to 52%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Robert
3 (3A)
POINTS
R. Martin
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.879 (29/33)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 04:32D. Marcotte (7) 81% to 52%-29
  2. P1 19:16D. Luce (4) 48% to 68%+20
  3. P1 10:11B. Miller (7) 66% to 48%-18
  4. P2 16:05P. McNab (9) 89% to 73%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
3
3
-2
0
2
2.2
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
2
2
0
5
3
1.2
#4 G. Korab (D)
1
1
2
-3
0
3
1.5
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
-2
0
5
1.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
0
4
1
0.5
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.6
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-2
4
0
-0.3
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
Total
4
7
11
17
20
7.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards334.879-0.160:00T

Team Stats

BOSBUF
33Shots on Goal20
5Power Play Chances6
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG3
19Penalty Minutes17

Full Game Log

1ST
01:14GOAL (BUF): Jerry Korab (2), assists: Rene Robert, Don Edwards
10:11GOAL (BOS): Bob Miller (7), assists: Rick Middleton
19:16GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (4), assists: Bill Stewart, Danny Gare
2ND
07:47GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (6), assists: Rene Robert, Jerry Korab
08:34GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (5), assists: Rene Robert, Danny Gare
14:39GOAL (BOS): Al Sims (3), assists: Wayne Cashman, Bob Miller
16:05GOAL (BOS): Peter McNab (9), assists: Terry O'Reilly, Rick Smith
3RD
04:32GOAL (BOS): Don Marcotte (7), assists: Bobby Schmautz, Mike Milbury
@ WSH (Nov 11, 1978)@ TOR (Nov 15, 1978) ›