vs BOS (Nov 12, 1978)vs STL (Nov 16, 1978) ›

November 15, 1978

Maple Leaf Gardens | Toronto

BUF 22 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0202
TOR0112
Shots on goal BUF 27, TOR 42
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .952
TOR M. Palmateer .926
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
TOR 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
W. McKechnie goal (P3 2:01), Sabres win chance drops from 75% to 47%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Savard
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Edwards
.952 (40/42)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 02:01W. McKechnie (7) 75% to 47%-28
  2. P2 04:21A. Savard (1) 46% to 67%+21
  3. P2 18:08J. Butler (1) 89% to 73%-16
  4. P2 15:14D. Gare (4) 73% to 88%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
0
1
-1
4
3
0.7
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
4
0.9
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
2
3
5
12
27
4.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards422.9522.560:00T

Team Stats

BUFTOR
27Shots on Goal42
4Power Play Chances4
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes12

Full Game Log

2ND
04:21GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (1), assists: Gilbert Perreault
15:14GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (4), assists: Jerry Korab, Rene Robert
18:08GOAL (TOR): Jerry Butler (1), assists: Garry Monahan
3RD
02:01GOAL (TOR): Walt McKechnie (7), assists: Ian Turnbull
vs BOS (Nov 12, 1978)vs STL (Nov 16, 1978) ›