‹ @ MTL (Dec 2, 1978)vs LAK (Dec 7, 1978) ›

December 3, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

MTL 4 – 1 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL0224
BUF1001
Shots on goal MTL 31, BUF 25W M. LarocqueL R. Sauve
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .871
MTL M. Larocque .960
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
MTL 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
G. Lafleur goal (P2 14:03), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 24%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Gare
6
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.871 (27/31)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 14:03G. Lafleur (17) 47% to 24%-23
  2. P2 08:59M. Tremblay (9) 69% to 47%-22
  3. P1 05:53D. Gare (6) 48% to 63%+15
  4. P3 04:06S. Shutt (8) 19% to 5%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.2
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
0
0
-1
7
0
-0.3
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
Total
1
2
3
9
25
3.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#28 R. Sauve314–.871–-0.360:00L

Team Stats

MTLBUF
31Shots on Goal25
3Power Play Chances3
33%PP%33%
67%PK%67%
1PPG1
11Penalty Minutes11

Full Game Log

1ST
05:53GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (6), assists: Craig Ramsay, Don Luce
2ND
08:59GOAL (MTL): Mario Tremblay (9), assists: Guy Lafleur
14:03GOAL (MTL): Guy Lafleur (17), assists: Steve Shutt, Gilles Lupien
3RD
04:06GOAL (MTL): Steve Shutt (8), assists: Guy Lafleur, Michel Larocque
04:57GOAL (MTL): Doug Jarvis (5), assists: Pierre Mondou, Mark Napier
‹ @ MTL (Dec 2, 1978)vs LAK (Dec 7, 1978) ›