‹ vs MTL (Dec 3, 1978)@ PIT (Dec 9, 1978) ›

December 7, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

LAK 3 – 3 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs LAK all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK2103
BUF1203
Shots on goal LAK 32, BUF 26
Summary

LAK had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 3-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .906
LAK M. Lessard .885
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
LAK 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Gare goal (P2 13:01), Sabres win chance rises from 26% to 49%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Gare
8
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.906 (29/32)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFLAK
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 13:01D. Gare (8) 26% to 49%+23
  2. P2 06:50R. Robert (5) 28% to 49%+21
  3. P1 19:35M. Wilson (3) 49% to 30%-19
  4. P2 10:12B. Goring (18) 46% to 27%-19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#18 D. Gare (RW)
2
0
2
+1
4
8
1.8
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
0
1.3
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#14 R. Robert (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.5
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.7
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
0
-0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
3
5
8
8
26
6.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#28 R. Sauve323–.906–0.760:00T

Team Stats

LAKBUF
32Shots on Goal26
3Power Play Chances3
67%PP%33%
67%PK%33%
2PPG1
8Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST
12:12GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (7), assists: Don Luce
13:15GOAL (LAK): Butch Goring (17), assists: Randy Manery, Dave Taylor
19:35GOAL (LAK): Murray Wilson (3), assists: Butch Goring, Rob Palmer
2ND
06:50GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (5), assists: Terry Martin, Jerry Korab
10:12GOAL (LAK): Butch Goring (18), assists: Bob Murdoch, Tom Williams
13:01GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (8), assists: Craig Ramsay, Don Luce
‹ vs MTL (Dec 3, 1978)@ PIT (Dec 9, 1978) ›