@ CHI (Dec 13, 1978)@ MNS (Dec 16, 1978) ›

December 14, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

CHI 23 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI1102
BUF0123
Shots on goal CHI 25, BUF 36W R. SauveL M. Veisor
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .920
CHI M. Veisor .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
CHI 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Luce goal (P3 9:39), Sabres win chance rises from 19% to 53%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Schoenfeld
2 (2A)
POINTS
R. Sauve
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 09:39D. Luce (9) 19% to 53%+34
  2. P3 11:19J. Richard (2) 53% to 87%+34
  3. P1 16:57G. Mulvey (5) 56% to 37%-19
  4. P2 16:46T. McKegney (6) 12% to 29%+17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
2
2
+3
0
5
1.6
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#9 J. Richard (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
5
1.0
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
2
0.6
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
3
5
8
4
36
7.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#28 R. Sauve252.9200.860:00W

Team Stats

CHIBUF
25Shots on Goal36
2Power Play Chances5
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
1PPG0
10Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

1ST
16:57GOAL (CHI): Grant Mulvey (5), assists: Ivan Boldirev, Doug Wilson
2ND
06:52GOAL (CHI): Phil Russell (5), assists: Ivan Boldirev
16:46GOAL (BUF): Tony McKegney (6), assists: Derek Smith, Bill Stewart
3RD
09:39GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (9), assists: Danny Gare, Jim Schoenfeld
11:19GOAL (BUF): Jacques Richard (2), assists: Jim Schoenfeld
@ CHI (Dec 13, 1978)@ MNS (Dec 16, 1978) ›