vs CHI (Dec 14, 1978)vs VAN (Dec 17, 1978) ›

December 16, 1978

Metropolitan Sports Center | Bloomington

BUF 52 MNS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MNS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0235
MNS1012
Shots on goal BUF 26, MNS 27W R. SauveL G. Meloche
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .926
MNS G. Meloche .808
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 6
MNS 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Luce goal (P2 5:58), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 71%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Smith
4 (1G-3A)
POINTS
R. Sauve
.926 (25/27)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMNS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 05:58D. Luce (10) 53% to 71%+18
  2. P2 03:04D. Smith (5) 32% to 50%+18
  3. P3 02:27T. McKegney (7) 78% to 93%+15
  4. P1 05:32B. Maxwell (2) 48% to 33%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#19 D. Smith (C)
1
3
4
0
0
2
2.7
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
1
2
0
0
3
1.5
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
5
8
13
8
26
10.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#28 R. Sauve272.9261.060:00W

Team Stats

BUFMNS
26Shots on Goal27
6Power Play Chances3
50%PP%33%
67%PK%50%
3PPG1
8Penalty Minutes14

Full Game Log

1ST
05:32GOAL (MNS): Brad Maxwell (2), unassisted
2ND
03:04GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (5), unassisted
05:58GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (10), assists: Danny Gare, Derek Smith
3RD
02:27GOAL (BUF): Tony McKegney (7), assists: Derek Smith, Gilbert Perreault
08:20GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (9), assists: Don Luce, Lee Fogolin
14:11GOAL (MNS): Tom Younghans (5), assists: Mike Polich, Glen Sharpley
17:42GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (10), assists: Jacques Richard, Derek Smith
vs CHI (Dec 14, 1978)vs VAN (Dec 17, 1978) ›