vs AFM (Dec 21, 1978)@ CLR (Dec 27, 1978) ›

December 23, 1978

Boston Garden | Boston

BUF 46 BOS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3104
BOS3126
Shots on goal BUF 24, BOS 28W G. CheeversL D. Edwards
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .786
BOS G. Cheevers .833
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
BOS 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
A. Sims goal (P3 3:52), Sabres win chance drops from 44% to 17%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Smith
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Gare
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.786 (22/28)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 40%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 03:52A. Sims (8) 44% to 17%-27
  2. P2 15:22J. Ratelle (12) 68% to 43%-25
  3. P2 04:16G. McAdam (4) 42% to 63%+21
  4. P1 16:59M. Walton (9) 61% to 41%-20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
0
1.4
#19 D. Smith (C)
2
0
2
+2
0
2
1.7
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
1
0
1
-3
0
1
0.8
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
3
0.9
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.6
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
4
7
11
2
24
9.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards286.786-2.360:00L

Team Stats

BUFBOS
24Shots on Goal28
2Power Play Chances1
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
2Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

1ST
01:39GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (6), assists: Rene Robert, Rick Martin
02:26GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (10), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Jim Schoenfeld
05:54GOAL (BOS): Terry O'Reilly (9), assists: Bob Miller, Al Sims
07:57GOAL (BOS): Wayne Cashman (8), assists: John Wensink, Al Sims
16:47GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (11), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Tony McKegney
16:59GOAL (BOS): Mike Walton (9), assists: Rick Middleton, Jean Ratelle
2ND
04:16GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (4), assists: Jerry Korab
15:22GOAL (BOS): Jean Ratelle (12), assists: Rick Middleton, John Wensink
3RD
03:52GOAL (BOS): Al Sims (8), assists: Bob Miller, Wayne Cashman
14:01GOAL (BOS): Wayne Cashman (9), assists: Peter McNab
vs AFM (Dec 21, 1978)@ CLR (Dec 27, 1978) ›