December 21, 1978
Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo
AFM 4 – 5 BUF
FINAL
| 1ST | 2ND | 3RD | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFM | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| BUF | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-4.
- IN NET
- Buffalo D. Edwards .840AFM D. Bouchard .853
- POWER PLAY
- Buffalo 1 of 4AFM 1 of 1
- TURNING POINT
- R. Martin goal (P3 10:28), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 84%
- WIN DNA
- 2 of 4 winning traits
Win Probability
Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.
Opened at 50%.
- P3 10:28R. Martin (10) 50% to 84%+34
- P2 12:43J. Korab (7) 31% to 50%+19
- P1 07:14T. Lysiak (16) 50% to 33%-17
- P2 08:59D. Smith (9) 13% to 28%+15
Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.
How this is measured
Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.
Win DNA
2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).
Box Score
| Player | G | A | P ▾ | +/- | PIM | SOG | Game Score | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | ||||||||||||||
| #14 R. Robert (RW) | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | |||||||
| #16 R. Seiling (RW) | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | |||||||
| #18 D. Gare (RW) | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | |||||||
| #7 R. Martin (LW) | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 0.9 | |||||||
| #8 T. McKegney (LW) | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | |||||||
| #10 C. Ramsay (LW) | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | |||||||
| #11 G. Perreault (C) | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | |||||||
| #19 D. Smith (C) | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 5 | 1.1 | |||||||
| #20 D. Luce (C) | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 1.0 | |||||||
| #3 W. Stewart (D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 3 | 0.9 | |||||||
| #4 G. Korab (D) | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 4 | 1.1 | |||||||
| #9 J. Richard (LW) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 | |||||||
| #15 G. McAdam (RW) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.2 | |||||||
| #25 T. Martin (LW) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.2 | |||||||
| #5 L. Fogolin (D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 0.2 | |||||||
| #6 J. Schoenfeld (D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 2 | 0.2 | |||||||
| #27 L. Playfair (D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||
| Total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 34 | 11.9 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | xGA | SV% | GSAx | GS | TOI ▾ | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 D. Edwards | 25 | 4 | – | .840 | – | -0.9 | 60:00 | W |