‹ vs CHI (Jan 4, 1979)@ AFM (Jan 9, 1979) ›

January 7, 1979

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

DET 3 – 4 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
DET0033
BUF0224
Shots on goal DET 28, BUF 25W D. EdwardsL J. Rutherford
Summary

DET had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .893
DET J. Rutherford .840
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
DET 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Schoenfeld goal (P3 11:34), Sabres win chance rises from 17% to 54%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Edwards
.893 (25/28)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 11:34J. Schoenfeld (2) 17% to 54%+37
  2. P3 12:02C. Ramsay (13) 54% to 88%+34
  3. P3 08:43A. St. Laurent (7) 54% to 20%-34
  4. P3 04:36E. Thompson (14) 83% to 55%-28

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.5
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.5
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
0.9
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
1
0
1
-1
2
1
0.7
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
-2
2
5
0.2
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
4
6
10
8
25
8.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#1 D. Edwards283–.893–0.360:00W

Team Stats

DETBUF
28Shots on Goal25
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

2ND
09:02GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (13), assists: Danny Gare, Gilbert Perreault
09:19GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (8), assists: Bill Stewart
3RD
03:00GOAL (DET): Nick Libett (7), assists: Reed Larson, Dan Bolduc
04:36GOAL (DET): Errol Thompson (14), assists: Andre St. Laurent, Dennis Polonich
08:43GOAL (DET): Andre St. Laurent (7), assists: Errol Thompson, Dennis Polonich
11:34GOAL (BUF): Jim Schoenfeld (2), assists: Derek Smith
12:02GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (13), assists: Danny Gare, Jerry Korab
‹ vs CHI (Jan 4, 1979)@ AFM (Jan 9, 1979) ›