vs DET (Jan 7, 1979)vs WSH (Jan 11, 1979) ›

January 9, 1979

Omni Coliseum | Atlanta

BUF 35 AFM

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
AFM0235
Shots on goal BUF 22, AFM 39W D. BouchardL D. Edwards
Summary

AFM had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .872
AFM D. Bouchard .864
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
AFM 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
G. McAdam goal (P3 8:34), Sabres win chance rises from 16% to 47%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Korab
2 (2A)
POINTS
R. Martin
6
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.872 (34/39)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:34G. McAdam (5) 16% to 47%+31
  2. P3 12:20J. Pronovost (16) 43% to 12%-31
  3. P3 02:18B. MacMillan (19) 47% to 20%-27
  4. P2 15:03D. Laurence (6) 71% to 46%-25

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
2
2
0
0
0
1.3
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
1
1
-1
4
3
0.5
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
6
0.5
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
Total
3
6
9
6
22
7.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards395.872-0.360:00L

Team Stats

BUFAFM
22Shots on Goal39
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
6Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

1ST
06:47GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (9), assists: Rene Robert, Jerry Korab
2ND
01:04GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (14), assists: Ric Seiling, Bill Stewart
12:32GOAL (AFM): Don Laurence (5), assists: Gene Carr, Willi Plett
15:03GOAL (AFM): Don Laurence (6), assists: Ken Houston
3RD
02:18GOAL (AFM): Bob MacMillan (19), assists: Eric Vail, Guy Chouinard
08:34GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (5), assists: Jerry Korab, Jacques Richard
12:20GOAL (AFM): Jean Pronovost (16), assists: Guy Chouinard, Eric Vail
18:56GOAL (AFM): Ken Houston (8), assists: Bob MacMillan, Guy Chouinard
vs DET (Jan 7, 1979)vs WSH (Jan 11, 1979) ›