vs MTL (Mar 24, 2004)@ PIT (Mar 27, 2004) ›

March 26, 2004

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PIT 15 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT0101
BUF1225
Shots on goal PIT 25, BUF 31W M. BironL S. Caron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .960
PIT S. Caron .867
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
PIT 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. McKee goal (P2 15:21), Sabres win chance rises from 62% to 86%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
3 (3A)
POINTS
M. Satan
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:37
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
23:39
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.960 (24/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 68%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 15:21J. McKee (2) 62% to 86%+24
  2. P2 06:54M. Kraft (18) 83% to 64%-19
  3. P1 16:45D. Brière (26) 66% to 83%+17
  4. P2 16:21C. Drury (17) 86% to 96%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
3
3
+3
0
1
1.9
19:38
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.6
18:21
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
14:05
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+2
7
0
0.4
8:25
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
14:49
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
18:32
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
15:20
#76 A. Peters (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
5:57
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
0
0.9
16:09
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+3
2
2
0.8
23:39
#74 J. McKee (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.9
17:36
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.5
15:34
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
9:10
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
17:44
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.8
21:37
#4 B. Brown (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
18:01
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:08
#34 J. Jillson (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:18
Total
5
9
14
15
31
12.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron251.9601.759:57W

Team Stats

PITBUF
25Shots on Goal31
5Power Play Chances6
20%PP%17%
83%PK%80%
1PPG1
17Penalty Minutes15
10Hits13
9Blocked Shots14
8Giveaways15
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
16:45GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (26), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Jochen Hecht
2ND
06:54GOAL (PIT): Milan Kraft (18), assists: Aleksey Morozov, Dick Tarnstrom
15:21GOAL (BUF): Jay McKee (2), assists: Milan Bartovic, Adam Mair
16:21GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (17), assists: Jochen Hecht, Mike Grier
3RD
12:58GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (16), assists: Chris Drury, Jochen Hecht
16:30GOAL (BUF): Andrew Peters (2), assists: James Patrick
vs MTL (Mar 24, 2004)@ PIT (Mar 27, 2004) ›