Alex Tuch#89

RW with Buffalo, 2021–22 to 2025–26

No. 89Shoots RHeight 6'4"Weight 219 lbsBorn May 10, 1996Hometown Syracuse, NY, USA
On-Ice Impact, 2025–26 5v5
52.2%
xGF% ON ICE
51.2%
CF% ON ICE

On-ice PDO 1.044 (5v5 on-ice shooting plus save percentage). PDO over one season is noisy, it regresses hard toward 1.000, so read it as recent puck luck rather than a skill.

Buffalo's 5v5 xGF% rose most with McLeod (+16.3) and fell most with Greenway (-13.1).

See the full teammate breakdown
Recent Form
Last 10
Last 20
Points
4 to 10
7Cold
15 
Individual xG
0.25 to 0.44
0.30Steady
0.28 
On-Ice xGF%
44.3% to 70.2%
69.5%Hot
58.3% 
Game Score
0.67 to 1.13
1.02Hot
0.91 

Each line is the metric's rolling 10-game value across the last 20 games, so it ends on the Last 10 figure. The dashed line is the player's season average (50% for On-Ice xGF%), with navy shading for time spent above it and gray for below. Gold ticks mark goal games. Descriptive only, small samples swing.

Career With Buffalo

360 games, 5 seasons
139
G
21st all-time
170
A
37th all-time
309
PTS
29th all-time
192
PIM
106th all-time
19:07
TOI/G

All-time is the rank among the 529 skaters with a regular-season game for Buffalo since 1970–71. Ties share a rank.

Season by Season

Chart:
Drag to zoom

These stats don’t share a natural scale, so each line is normalized to its own 0-100% range for shape comparison. Hover a point for its real value.

0183620212022202320242025SeasonGoalsaging curve

The dashed line is a league-typical aging curve for a forward, scaled to this player's own level. Above it means producing more than a typical player that age; the line falling away faster than the curve means declining faster than the aging curve alone would explain.

SeasonAgeGPGAPTS+/-PIMPen +/-/60PPSHGWGSOGS%FO%TOI/GP/60ixGxG/60GAxCF%FF%GF%xG%PDO
2021–222550122638-314+0.132101398.6%39.1%18:25
2.48
82nd pct
18.1
1.18
92nd pct
-6.1
2nd pct
51.6%
88th pct
51.6%50.6%56.0%0.987
2022–232674364379+1420+0.1381921816.5%42.7%19:09
3.34
98th pct
29.1
1.23
94th pct
+6.9
94th pct
53.8%
97th pct
53.3%57.4%51.0%1.021
2023–242775223759+954-0.1621719211.5%40.0%19:30
2.42
81st pct
23.0
0.94
77th pct
-1.0
40th pct
50.9%
67th pct
51.3%54.5%52.2%1.005
2024–252882363167+1647-0.2336419618.4%41.0%19:15
2.55
86th pct
26.1
0.99
82nd pct
+10.0
98th pct
50.1%
58th pct
50.8%57.3%50.4%1.029
2025–262979333366+2457-0.2473219516.9%46.9%19:00
2.64
88th pct
24.5
0.98
81st pct
+8.5
95th pct
51.2%
63rd pct
52.2%61.7%52.2%1.044
Total360139170309+6019222122294014.8%19:072.69

pct under a P/60, xG/60, GAx and CF% figure is where that season ranks, as a percentile, among every Sabres forward season since 2016–17 with at least 12 games; a season under that floor isn't ranked. xG/60, GAx and CF% come from this site's own xG model and shift-chart reconstruction, not an NHL feed; P/60 is from official NHL totals. Higher is better throughout.

Actual vs Expected

One row per season: the gold dot is the expected total, the navy dot is what actually happened.

xGGoals
0102030402021–222021–22: 18.1 xG2021–22: 12 Goals (-6.1 vs expected)12 / 18.12022–232022–23: 29.1 xG2022–23: 36 Goals (+6.9 vs expected)36 / 29.12023–242023–24: 23.0 xG2023–24: 22 Goals (-1.0 vs expected)22 / 23.02024–252024–25: 26.1 xG2024–25: 36 Goals (+10.0 vs expected)36 / 26.12025–262025–26: 24.5 xG2025–26: 33 Goals (+8.5 vs expected)33 / 24.5

Shot Map

Every shot attempt across every season shown here, to scale, always attacking right. Pick one season to see that year alone, or leave it on Career for the full picture.

xG range
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

With or Without You

Buffalo's 5v5 shot-attempt (CF%) and expected-goal (xGF%) share with Tuch on the ice, split by whether each teammate was out there too. Δ is the with-minus-apart gap: a positive number means the pair drove play better together than Tuch did without that teammate. That gap is always measured from the named player's side, so the same pair can read positive on one player's table and negative on the other's. 2025–26 regular season, minimum 20:00 together. Together counts every 5v5 second the two share, whoever else is on the ice, so a pair's time and xGF% here differ slightly from the Line Combinations table, which counts only the seconds that exact pair or trio was the unit.

Teammate
TOGETHER
TUCH APART
IMPACT
TOI TogetherCF%xGF%CF%xGF%Δ CF%Δ xGF%
Thompson
584:0851.2%49.2%
51.3%55.5%
-0.1-6.3
Byram
419:3152.6%48.2%
50.4%55.0%
+2.2-6.8
Power
406:5054.4%54.5%
49.3%50.6%
+5.1+3.9
Samuelsson
404:1847.6%51.4%
53.4%52.5%
-5.8-1.1
Dahlin
387:0853.8%53.0%
49.9%51.7%
+3.9+1.3
Krebs
305:0053.1%52.2%
50.5%52.2%
+2.60.0
Doan
288:1154.1%56.8%
50.2%50.3%
+3.9+6.5
McLeod
223:4852.0%64.2%
51.0%47.9%
+1.0+16.3
Norris
169:3047.4%51.8%
51.9%52.2%
-4.5-0.4
Ostlund
164:2653.5%52.0%
50.9%52.2%
+2.6-0.2
Timmins
153:0946.7%53.9%
52.0%51.9%
-5.3+2.0
Benson
150:3154.1%48.0%
50.8%52.8%
+3.3-4.8
Kesselring
123:5846.0%46.3%
52.0%53.0%
-6.0-6.7
Metsa
92:3345.8%60.2%
51.8%51.5%
-6.0+8.7
Zucker
90:3642.8%42.9%
52.0%53.0%
-9.2-10.1
Bryson
76:2647.3%55.1%
51.5%51.9%
-4.2+3.2
Stanley
44:4455.1%52.3%
51.1%52.2%
+4.0+0.1
Kozak
33:4741.8%45.4%
51.5%52.3%
-9.7-6.9
Greenway
31:5145.9%39.3%
51.4%52.4%
-5.5-13.1
Quinn
30:1853.3%41.8%
51.1%52.6%
+2.2-10.8

Shift Rhythm Profile

How Tuch's shift length lines up with on-ice results, 2025–26 regular season. A shift under 0:30 is a quick change, usually right off a whistle. 0:30 to 0:45 is a short shift and 0:45 to 1:00 a typical one. 1:00 or more is a long shift, more likely during a delayed line change, a d-zone lockdown, or a penalty kill that ran long. Shift length is an outcome before it is a cause: a shift runs long because the unit could not change. Most of a long shift is ordinary play, though; the stretch past the one-minute mark is where a unit is really pinned, and each game page counts that time on its own. Empty-net goals against are left out.

177 of 398 of Tuch's shifts over a minute were hemmed-in shifts (mostly even strength, more than 60 seconds of unbroken play).

Shift LengthShiftsCF%xG%GFGA
Quick (<0:30)39641.0%46.0%4328
Short (0:30-0:45)60950.9%49.7%2724
Typical (0:45-1:00)57149.9%51.4%1410
Long (1:00+)39848.3%49.0%1514
0:46
AVG SHIFT
181
PP SHIFTS
318
PK SHIFTS
+3s
LONG-CHANGE GAP
177
HEMMED-IN SHIFTS
103
SHORT-REST SHIFTS