‹ @ MNS (Dec 16, 1978)@ NYR (Dec 20, 1978) ›

December 17, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

VAN 3 – 6 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs VAN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN0123
BUF3126
Shots on goal VAN 27, BUF 31W R. SauveL G. Bromley
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards 1.000
Buffalo R. Sauve .842
VAN G. Bromley .806
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 1
VAN 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Gare goal (P1 0:07), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 73%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. McAdam
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
R. Sauve
.842 (16/19)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFVAN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 00:07D. Gare (10) 58% to 73%+15
  2. P1 08:41T. Martin (2) 74% to 86%+12
  3. P1 05:46Fighting on Danny Gare, 5 min 73% to 65%-8
  4. P1 05:46Fighting on Lars Lindgren, 5 min 65% to 73%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
1
2
3
0
0
4
2.3
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
6
1.9
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.6
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
0
1
+1
5
3
0.8
#19 D. Smith (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#25 T. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
+3
2
1
-0.1
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
6
6
12
11
31
10.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#28 R. Sauve193–.842–-0.640:00W
#1 D. Edwards80–1.000–0.820:00–

Team Stats

VANBUF
27Shots on Goal31
3Power Play Chances1
33%PP%100%
0%PK%67%
1PPG1
9Penalty Minutes13

Full Game Log

1ST
00:07GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (10), unassisted
08:41GOAL (BUF): Terry Martin (2), assists: Gary McAdam, Jacques Richard
15:04GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (3), unassisted
2ND
04:09GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (11), assists: Craig Ramsay, Gary McAdam
17:28GOAL (VAN): Curt Fraser (10), unassisted
3RD
07:15GOAL (VAN): Ron Sedlbauer (22), assists: Stan Smyl, Don Lever
08:55GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (6), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Tony McKegney
13:41GOAL (VAN): Stan Smyl (3), assists: Don Lever, Chris Oddleifson
17:57GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (11), unassisted
‹ @ MNS (Dec 16, 1978)@ NYR (Dec 20, 1978) ›