vs VAN (Dec 17, 1978)vs AFM (Dec 21, 1978) ›

December 20, 1978

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 36 NYR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
NYR1236
Shots on goal BUF 28, NYR 34W W. ThomasL R. Sauve
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .824
NYR W. Thomas .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
NYR 3 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Talafous goal (P2 0:39), Sabres win chance drops from 44% to 26%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. McKegney
3 (3A)
POINTS
R. Robert
4
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.824 (28/34)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 00:39D. Talafous (8) 44% to 26%-18
  2. P1 13:27D. Smith (7) 27% to 44%+17
  3. P1 11:42M. McEwen (8) 42% to 27%-15
  4. P2 15:34D. Smith (8) 8% to 22%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
3
3
+2
0
1
1.9
#19 D. Smith (C)
2
0
2
+2
0
4
1.8
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
-2
2
4
0.9
#25 T. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.6
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
15
1
-0.2
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.0
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
Total
3
6
9
21
28
7.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#28 R. Sauve346.824-1.760:00L

Team Stats

BUFNYR
28Shots on Goal34
3Power Play Chances3
33%PP%100%
0%PK%67%
1PPG3
21Penalty Minutes21

Full Game Log

1ST
11:42GOAL (NYR): Mike McEwen (8), assists: Mario Marois, Ulf Nilsson
13:27GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (7), assists: Tony McKegney, Bill Stewart
2ND
00:39GOAL (NYR): Dean Talafous (8), assists: Anders Hedberg, Ulf Nilsson
09:44GOAL (NYR): Phil Esposito (15), assists: Lucien DeBlois, Mike McEwen
15:34GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (8), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Tony McKegney
3RD
02:01GOAL (NYR): Dean Talafous (9), assists: Ron Greschner, Ron Duguay
09:44GOAL (NYR): Mario Marois (3), assists: Walt Tkaczuk, Mike McEwen
15:50GOAL (NYR): Anders Hedberg (11), assists: Pat Hickey, Dan Clark
17:23GOAL (BUF): Terry Martin (3), assists: Rene Robert, Tony McKegney
vs VAN (Dec 17, 1978)vs AFM (Dec 21, 1978) ›