@ TBL (Mar 17, 2002)vs BOS (Mar 21, 2002) ›

March 19, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 15 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT0011
BUF1225
Shots on goal OTT 34, BUF 24W M. BironL P. Lalime
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .971
OTT P. Lalime .792
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
OTT 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
B. Campbell goal (P1 9:56), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 68%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Gratton
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
V. Varada
19:26
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
22:45
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.971 (33/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 10 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 09:56B. Campbell (2) 48% to 68%+20
  2. P2 12:54C. Gratton (11) 75% to 91%+16
  3. P2 19:38C. Brown (17) 93% to 98%+5
  4. P2 08:34Cross checking on Jay McKee, 2 min 73% to 69%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
2
3
+3
0
3
2.3
17:18
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.5
12:14
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.5
18:10
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.8
13:54
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.9
19:26
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
5:39
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
19:23
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
13:10
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
0
0.9
20:42
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
1.0
15:55
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
11:13
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
14:20
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:47
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:44
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
0
0.2
18:13
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
20:30
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
1
0.1
22:45
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
21:33
Total
5
9
14
8
24
11.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron341.9712.660:00W

Team Stats

OTTBUF
34Shots on Goal24
4Power Play Chances1
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
4Penalty Minutes10
18Hits18
4Blocked Shots21
10Giveaways13
0Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
09:56GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (2), assists: Tim Connolly, Ales Kotalik
2ND
12:54GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (11), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Miroslav Satan
19:38GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (17), assists: Vaclav Varada
3RD
07:02GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (35), assists: Radek Bonk, Zdeno Chara
10:55GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (26), assists: Denis Hamel, Chris Gratton
19:20GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (1), assists: Chris Gratton, Eric Boulton
@ TBL (Mar 17, 2002)vs BOS (Mar 21, 2002) ›