vs WSH (Dec 7, 2002)vs CHI (Dec 13, 2002) ›

December 10, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT2114
BUF1012
Shots on goal OTT 30, BUF 28W M. PrusekL M. Biron
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .867
OTT M. Prusek .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 1
OTT 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
B. Smyth goal (P1 18:52), Sabres win chance drops from 46% to 25%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Brown
2 (2A)
POINTS
M. Satan
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:48
TOI (F)
R. Warrener
22:14
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.867 (26/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 13 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:52B. Smyth (3) 46% to 25%-21
  2. P1 14:34H. Tallinder (1) 27% to 46%+19
  3. P1 09:02T. White (7) 46% to 27%-19
  4. P2 11:57M. Hossa (17) 22% to 8%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
2
2
0
0
3
1.6
15:04
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
2
2
0
0
4
1.4
20:48
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
14:23
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.8
19:25
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
15:15
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:56
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:01
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:23
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:00
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:37
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:35
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
16:15
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
16:14
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
18:50
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
22:14
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
18:19
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
21:30
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
19:21
Total
2
4
6
4
28
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron304.867-0.459:02L

Team Stats

OTTBUF
30Shots on Goal28
2Power Play Chances1
50%PP%100%
0%PK%50%
1PPG1
2Penalty Minutes4
2Hits2

Full Game Log

1ST
09:02GOAL (OTT): Todd White (7), assists: Martin Havlat, Magnus Arvedson
14:34GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (1), assists: Curtis Brown, Miroslav Satan
18:52GOAL (OTT): Brad Smyth (3), assists: Anton Volchenkov, Magnus Arvedson
2ND
11:57GOAL (OTT): Marian Hossa (17), assists: Wade Redden
3RD
12:01GOAL (OTT): Marian Hossa (18), assists: Peter Schaefer, Radek Bonk
14:18GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (4), assists: Curtis Brown, Miroslav Satan
vs WSH (Dec 7, 2002)vs CHI (Dec 13, 2002) ›