@ NYR (Dec 6, 2002)vs OTT (Dec 10, 2002) ›

December 7, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

WSH 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH0213
BUF1124
Shots on goal WSH 25, BUF 44W M. BironL S. Charpentier
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .880
WSH S. Charpentier .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
WSH 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
A. Mair goal (P3 17:57), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 97%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
S. Barnes
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
23:35
TOI (F)
J. Patrick
20:49
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.880 (22/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+19+100-10-19shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:57A. Mair (2) 51% to 97%+46
  2. P3 16:49D. Kalinin (3) 6% to 51%+45
  3. P3 02:51J. Jagr (15) 51% to 20%-31
  4. P2 16:35P. Bondra (11) 80% to 54%-26

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.9
23:35
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
18:17
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
17:24
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.1
11:01
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
12:45
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
19:58
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
5
1.1
18:02
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
0.9
20:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
19:24
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
19:55
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
19:24
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:07
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
11:31
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:41
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
6
0.5
17:17
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
10:12
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
19:50
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
20:48
Total
4
8
12
4
44
11.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron253.8800.060:00W

Team Stats

WSHBUF
25Shots on Goal44
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes4
0Hits2

Full Game Log

1ST
10:06GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (3), assists: Miroslav Satan, Brian Campbell
2ND
13:00GOAL (WSH): Brian Sutherby (2), assists: Jean-Francois Fortin, Peter Bondra
15:26GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (9), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Curtis Brown
16:35GOAL (WSH): Peter Bondra (11), unassisted
3RD
02:51GOAL (WSH): Jaromir Jagr (15), assists: Michael Nylander
16:49GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (3), assists: Chris Gratton, J-P Dumont
17:57GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (2), assists: Taylor Pyatt, James Patrick
@ NYR (Dec 6, 2002)vs OTT (Dec 10, 2002) ›