@ BOS (Apr 5, 2003)

April 6, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NJD 22 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD1102
BUF0202
Shots on goal NJD 30, BUF 30
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .933
NJD C. Schwab .933
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
NJD 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
P. Elias goal (P2 13:44), Sabres win chance drops from 71% to 43%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
25:04
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:43
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.933 (28/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:26
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 40%.

OT 4:26
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 13:44P. Elias (28) 71% to 43%-28
  2. P2 03:09A. Zhitnik (3) 42% to 66%+24
  3. P2 01:11A. Kotalik (21) 22% to 42%+20
  4. P1 11:53G. Marshall (9) 41% to 23%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
21:05
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.8
17:01
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
16:53
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
25:04
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.2
27:43
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
9:37
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
13:46
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:58
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
9:37
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
19:15
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
15:47
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
19:39
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:13
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:04
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
11:42
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
22:57
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.2
21:16
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
17:27
Total
2
3
5
10
30
6.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen302.9331.364:56T

Team Stats

NJDBUF
30Shots on Goal30
5Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes10
8Hits15
8Blocked Shots14
17Giveaways25
4Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
11:53GOAL (NJD): Grant Marshall (9), assists: Jamie Langenbrunner, Jeff Friesen
2ND
01:11GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (21), assists: Miroslav Satan, Chris Taylor
03:09GOAL (BUF): Alexei Zhitnik (3), assists: Adam Mair
13:44GOAL (NJD): Patrik Elias (28), assists: Scott Gomez
@ BOS (Apr 5, 2003)