@ COL (Oct 26, 2003)vs TOR (Oct 30, 2003) ›

October 28, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MIN 31 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN1113
BUF0011
Shots on goal MIN 21, BUF 33W M. FernandezL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .857
MIN M. Fernandez .970
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
MIN 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
W. Walz goal (P1 17:24), Sabres win chance drops from 56% to 34%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Kalinin
1 (1G)
POINTS
C. Brown
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:19
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
21:59
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.857 (18/21)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMIN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 17 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFMIN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 17:24W. Walz (2) 56% to 34%-22
  2. P2 07:07A. Daigle (4) 28% to 12%-16
  3. P1 05:09Fighting on Matt Johnson, 5 min 46% to 54%+8
  4. P1 05:09Fighting on Andrew Peters, 5 min 54% to 46%-8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
11:12
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
11:13
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
21:59
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
15:37
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
15:29
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
18:22
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:19
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
8:27
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
19:31
#38 D. Pittis (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:36
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
19:00
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
2:32
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
22:19
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
18:32
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
20:44
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
19:32
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
17:47
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:51
Total
1
2
3
15
33
4.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron213.857-0.458:50L

Team Stats

MINBUF
21Shots on Goal33
4Power Play Chances3
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
2PPG0
15Penalty Minutes17
7Hits13
12Blocked Shots5
6Giveaways17
0Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
17:24GOAL (MIN): Wes Walz (2), assists: Antti Laaksonen, Willie Mitchell
2ND
07:07GOAL (MIN): Alexandre Daigle (4), assists: Willie Mitchell, Nick Schultz
3RD
02:49GOAL (MIN): Andrew Brunette (1), assists: Travis Roche, Pierre-Marc Bouchard
07:03GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (2), assists: Adam Mair, Chris Taylor
@ COL (Oct 26, 2003)vs TOR (Oct 30, 2003) ›