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November 12, 2003

Blue Cross Arena | Rochester

NJD 22 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD0112
BUF0112
Shots on goal NJD 35, BUF 28
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .943
NJD M. Brodeur .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
NJD 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (P3 13:13), Sabres win chance rises from 10% to 49%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Taylor
1 (1G)
POINTS
C. Drury
20:04
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
31:16
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.943 (33/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:22
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

OT 4:22
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 13:13M. Afinogenov (2) 10% to 49%+39
  2. P3 11:52J. Langenbrunner (6) 51% to 12%-39
  3. P2 17:41J. Friesen (4) 77% to 49%-28
  4. P2 06:15C. Taylor (2) 49% to 73%+24

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#16 C. Taylor (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
12:49
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
19:52
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
7
1.3
12:28
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
15:33
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.9
31:16
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:41
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
14:25
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:58
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.4
20:04
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
17:55
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
5:51
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
13:26
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:54
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
18:47
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
21:51
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
25:33
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
14:52
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
19:08
Total
2
3
5
11
28
6.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron352.9431.864:54T

Team Stats

NJDBUF
35Shots on Goal28
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
17Penalty Minutes15
14Hits14
12Blocked Shots13
13Giveaways13
4Takeaways8

Full Game Log

2ND
06:15GOAL (BUF): Chris Taylor (2), assists: Andy Delmore
17:41GOAL (NJD): Jeff Friesen (4), assists: Jamie Langenbrunner, Tommy Albelin
3RD
11:52GOAL (NJD): Jamie Langenbrunner (6), assists: Patrik Elias, Brian Rafalski
13:13GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (2), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Curtis Brown
@ MTL (Nov 8, 2003)vs PIT (Nov 14, 2003) ›