vs STL (Mar 7, 2004)vs BOS (Mar 11, 2004) ›

March 10, 2004

MCI Center | Washington

BUF 60 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1236
WSH0000
Shots on goal BUF 35, WSH 27W M. BironL O. Kolzig
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
WSH O. Kolzig .829
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
WSH 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Kalinin goal (P1 4:27), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 72%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
21:30
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
24:46
TOI (D)
M. Biron
1.000 (27/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 4 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:27D. Kalinin (7) 56% to 72%+16
  2. P2 05:24J. Hecht (8) 76% to 90%+14
  3. P1 04:43Fighting on Brad Brown, 5 min 72% to 64%-8
  4. P1 04:43Fighting on Rick Berry, 5 min 64% to 72%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
2
3
+3
0
2
2.1
16:49
#55 J. Hecht (C)
2
1
3
+3
0
4
2.5
16:36
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
2
2
+3
0
2
1.5
15:16
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
9:47
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
18:24
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
10:40
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
18:14
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
21:30
#4 B. Brown (D)
0
1
1
+3
5
1
0.8
14:56
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.3
24:46
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+4
2
1
0.7
17:18
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:57
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:18
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
16:14
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
+1
5
1
0.1
8:03
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:48
#5 J. Jillson (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.4
20:04
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
18:24
Total
6
10
16
14
35
14.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron2701.0002.759:56W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
35Shots on Goal27
4Power Play Chances2
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
14Penalty Minutes18
8Hits11
14Blocked Shots12
10Giveaways12
5Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
04:27GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (7), assists: Miroslav Satan
2ND
05:24GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (8), assists: Chris Drury, Mike Grier
11:39GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (9), assists: Jochen Hecht, Chris Drury
3RD
03:48GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (9), assists: Jay McKee, Mike Grier
06:28GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (4), assists: Milan Bartovic
14:10GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (23), assists: J-P Dumont, Brad Brown
vs STL (Mar 7, 2004)vs BOS (Mar 11, 2004) ›