@ TOR (Mar 6, 2004)@ WSH (Mar 10, 2004) ›

March 7, 2004

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

STL 51 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs STL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
STL1135
BUF1001
Shots on goal STL 25, BUF 19W R. DivisL M. Biron
Summary

STL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .800
STL R. Divis .947
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 8
STL 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
P. Cajanek goal (P2 4:21), Sabres win chance drops from 54% to 30%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
23:10
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
28:24
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.800 (20/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 19 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFSTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 04:21P. Cajanek (8) 54% to 30%-24
  2. P1 14:29D. Roy (6) 34% to 54%+20
  3. P1 09:05D. Drake (11) 55% to 34%-21
  4. P3 04:47P. Demitra (20) 19% to 5%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
-3
2
1
1.0
20:20
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
6
1.6
20:13
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
12:03
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
17:50
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
14
1
-0.2
5:39
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
20:36
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:12
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
-1
15
0
-0.1
2:52
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
16:26
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
19:26
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
4
0.2
17:39
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
23:10
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
14:41
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
0
0
-4
0
1
0.1
17:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
23:30
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
1:23
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
28:24
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-4
0
0
0.0
23:43
Total
1
1
2
35
19
3.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron255.800-1.759:22L

Team Stats

STLBUF
25Shots on Goal19
3Power Play Chances8
0%PP%13%
88%PK%100%
0PPG1
35Penalty Minutes35
19Hits19
9Blocked Shots6
8Giveaways11
1Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
09:05GOAL (STL): Dallas Drake (11), assists: Doug Weight
14:29GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (6), assists: Daniel Brière
2ND
04:21GOAL (STL): Petr Cajanek (8), assists: Chris Pronger, Doug Weight
3RD
04:47GOAL (STL): Pavol Demitra (20), assists: Petr Cajanek
11:58GOAL (STL): Petr Cajanek (9), assists: Pavol Demitra, Keith Tkachuk
18:41GOAL (STL): Mike Sillinger (9), assists: Ryan Johnson, Chris Pronger
@ TOR (Mar 6, 2004)@ WSH (Mar 10, 2004) ›