@ BOS (Mar 13, 2004)@ ATL (Mar 17, 2004) ›

March 15, 2004

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 65 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR20316
BUF23005
Shots on goal TOR 34, BUF 28W T. KiddL M. Biron
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-5 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .824
TOR T. Kidd .821
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 4 of 8
TOR 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Kaberle goal (OT 3:45), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 0%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
M. Satan
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
27:54
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
31:04
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.824 (28/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 27 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 3:45
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

OT 3:45
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 03:45T. Kaberle (3) 50% to 0%-50
  2. P3 19:22G. Roberts (26) 99% to 49%-50
  3. P2 12:04J. Hecht (11) 50% to 75%+25
  4. P1 19:31M. Sundin (29) 71% to 48%-23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
2
2
4
-2
0
3
3.0
23:42
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
3
4
+1
0
5
3.1
27:54
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
2
3
+1
2
2
2.3
22:54
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
3
1.5
24:08
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
5
1.1
31:04
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.3
17:35
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.5
11:47
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
10:56
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
3:27
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
11:28
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.3
16:05
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
13:56
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:25
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.1
19:36
#4 B. Brown (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:02
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
15:17
#34 J. Jillson (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.2
17:54
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:22
Total
5
9
14
12
28
12.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron346.824-1.763:42L

Team Stats

TORBUF
34Shots on Goal28
4Power Play Chances8
50%PP%50%
50%PK%50%
2PPG4
20Penalty Minutes12
16Hits15
5Blocked Shots13
10Giveaways14
4Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
09:39GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (10), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Miroslav Satan
12:42GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (25), assists: J-P Dumont, Jochen Hecht
16:15GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (28), assists: Gary Roberts, Brian Leetch
19:31GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (29), assists: Tomas Kaberle, Alexander Mogilny
2ND
12:04GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (11), assists: Miroslav Satan, Daniel Brière
16:55GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (28), assists: J-P Dumont
19:52GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (18), assists: Miroslav Satan, Jochen Hecht
3RD
04:30GOAL (TOR): Owen Nolan (16), assists: Brian Leetch, Bryan McCabe
14:58GOAL (TOR): Owen Nolan (17), assists: Ron Francis, Brian Leetch
19:22GOAL (TOR): Gary Roberts (26), assists: Alexander Mogilny, Bryan McCabe
OT
03:45GOAL (TOR): Tomas Kaberle (3), assists: Alexander Mogilny, Joe Nieuwendyk
@ BOS (Mar 13, 2004)@ ATL (Mar 17, 2004) ›