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March 20, 2004

Office Depot Center | Sunrise

BUF 21 FLA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2002
FLA0101
Shots on goal BUF 23, FLA 24W M. BironL R. Luongo
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .958
FLA R. Luongo .913
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 9
FLA 1 of 8
TURNING POINT
M. Satan goal (P1 6:29), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 69%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
22:56
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
27:28
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.958 (23/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 06:29M. Satan (29) 51% to 69%+18
  2. P1 17:56D. Roy (8) 72% to 87%+15
  3. P2 01:41V. Nedorost (3) 86% to 73%-13
  4. P3 11:38Unsportsmanlike conduct on Milan Bartovic, 2 min 83% to 77%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.8
17:55
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
1
1
+1
6
1
0.3
11:48
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
22:56
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
13:05
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
21:38
#34 J. Jillson (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.7
16:41
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:20
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:32
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
8:47
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
16:56
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
18:11
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
16:55
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:30
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
19:14
#4 B. Brown (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:14
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
14:05
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
27:28
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
17:58
Total
2
4
6
18
23
5.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron241.9581.659:58W

Team Stats

BUFFLA
23Shots on Goal24
9Power Play Chances8
11%PP%13%
88%PK%89%
1PPG1
20Penalty Minutes22
13Hits11
12Blocked Shots12
3Giveaways10
3Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
06:29GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (29), assists: Jochen Hecht, Maxim Afinogenov
17:56GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (8), assists: Milan Bartovic, Jeff Jillson
2ND
01:41GOAL (FLA): Vaclav Nedorost (3), assists: Olli Jokinen, Stephen Weiss
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