@ PIT (Mar 27, 2004)@ NYR (Mar 31, 2004) ›

March 29, 2004

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CBJ 06 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CBJ all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ0000
BUF2136
Shots on goal CBJ 23, BUF 39W M. BironL F. Brathwaite
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
CBJ F. Brathwaite .846
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
CBJ 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Kalinin goal (P1 6:07), Sabres win chance rises from 61% to 79%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Kalinin
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
18:19
TOI (F)
J. Jillson
22:18
TOI (D)
M. Biron
1.000 (23/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCBJ

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFCBJ

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 62%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCBJ
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 06:07D. Kalinin (8) 61% to 79%+18
  2. P1 08:16D. Roy (9) 79% to 91%+12
  3. P2 07:03D. Kalinin (9) 92% to 98%+6
  4. P1 02:33Tripping on Greg Mauldin, 2 min 62% to 65%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
2
1
3
+3
2
2
2.3
19:23
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.5
15:39
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
2
2
+2
2
3
1.3
14:22
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.4
15:03
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
+3
0
3
1.7
15:22
#16 C. Taylor (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
10:15
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.7
13:28
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
17:57
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
4
1.0
14:41
#3 J. Patrick (D)
1
0
1
+3
0
2
1.0
17:20
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
17:10
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
11:24
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
7:05
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:19
#4 B. Brown (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
18:11
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
0
-0.1
20:16
#34 J. Jillson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
7
0.6
22:18
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
1
0.0
19:47
Total
6
10
16
12
39
13.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron2301.0002.360:00W

Team Stats

CBJBUF
23Shots on Goal39
5Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes12
13Hits9
9Blocked Shots13
12Giveaways15
0Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
06:07GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (8), assists: Jochen Hecht, Chris Drury
08:16GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (9), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Milan Bartovic
2ND
07:03GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (9), assists: Chris Drury, Mike Grier
3RD
02:54GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (17), assists: Derek Roy, Milan Bartovic
14:00GOAL (BUF): James Patrick (4), assists: Daniel Brière, Dmitri Kalinin
15:02GOAL (BUF): Chris Taylor (6), unassisted
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