vs CBJ (Mar 29, 2004)vs TOR (Apr 2, 2004) ›

March 31, 2004

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 43 NYR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1214
NYR1113
Shots on goal BUF 39, NYR 40W M. BironL M. Dunham
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .925
NYR M. Dunham .897
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
NYR 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (P2 3:27), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 76%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
M. Grier
5
SHOTS
C. Drury
20:36
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
25:26
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.925 (37/40)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 8 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 03:27J. Hecht (14) 53% to 76%+23
  2. P1 19:03M. Messier (18) 75% to 53%-22
  3. P1 03:59D. Brière (27) 54% to 72%+18
  4. P2 03:48J. Hecht (15) 76% to 90%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
2
2
4
+4
0
4
3.1
19:31
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
2
2
+3
0
3
1.5
20:36
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
2
2
+4
0
5
1.9
17:46
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
17:51
#4 B. Brown (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
19:25
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
1.1
25:26
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.3
13:05
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
13:38
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
11:04
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
20:24
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.1
10:48
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
12:54
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:52
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
18:21
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
20:37
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
15:28
#34 J. Jillson (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.4
17:08
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
19:06
Total
4
7
11
7
39
11.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron403.9251.560:00W

Team Stats

BUFNYR
39Shots on Goal40
2Power Play Chances1
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
7Penalty Minutes9
19Hits17
12Blocked Shots15
5Giveaways8
4Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
03:59GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (27), assists: Jochen Hecht
19:03GOAL (NYR): Mark Messier (18), assists: Jozef Balej, Cory Larose
2ND
03:27GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (14), assists: Mike Grier, Brad Brown
03:48GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (15), assists: Mike Grier, Chris Drury
11:00GOAL (NYR): Thomas Pock (2), assists: Karel Rachunek, Jozef Balej
3RD
02:56GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (10), assists: Chris Drury, Jochen Hecht
09:12GOAL (NYR): Josh Green (5), assists: Chris McAllister
vs CBJ (Mar 29, 2004)vs TOR (Apr 2, 2004) ›