vs TOR (Apr 2, 2004)

April 3, 2004

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 36 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0213
MTL2226
Shots on goal BUF 27, MTL 39W J. TheodoreL M. Noronen
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .846
MTL J. Theodore .889
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
MTL 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
P. Dagenais goal (P1 5:12), Sabres win chance drops from 45% to 26%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
21:39
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
25:28
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.846 (33/39)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 05:12P. Dagenais (16) 45% to 26%-19
  2. P1 09:10P. Dagenais (17) 26% to 12%-14
  3. P2 02:11J. Dowd (7) 10% to 3%-7
  4. P2 02:39B. Campbell (3) 3% to 10%+7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.6
19:19
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.6
19:58
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
13:19
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
11:28
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
21:39
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
0
1
-2
0
1
1.1
25:28
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
14:34
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
12
2
-0.1
12:02
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
+1
17
3
0.1
17:54
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:09
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
10:16
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
4
0.2
14:43
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-3
15
1
-0.1
9:06
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
11:37
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
24:57
#34 J. Jillson (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
21:22
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
22:45
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
11:14
Total
3
5
8
50
27
7.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen396.846-1.260:00L

Team Stats

BUFMTL
27Shots on Goal39
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
50Penalty Minutes18
23Hits14
19Blocked Shots19
15Giveaways11
6Takeaways13

Full Game Log

1ST
05:12GOAL (MTL): Pierre Dagenais (16), assists: Michael Ryder, Mike Ribeiro
09:10GOAL (MTL): Pierre Dagenais (17), assists: Michael Ryder, Mike Ribeiro
2ND
02:11GOAL (MTL): Jim Dowd (7), assists: Andrei Markov
02:39GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (3), assists: Mike Grier, Jochen Hecht
03:47GOAL (MTL): Richard Zednik (26), assists: Jan Bulis, Saku Koivu
15:16GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (28), assists: J-P Dumont
3RD
04:45GOAL (MTL): Michael Ryder (25), assists: Pierre Dagenais, Francis Bouillon
11:54GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (22), assists: Daniel Brière, Miroslav Satan
12:01GOAL (MTL): Steve Begin (10), assists: Patrice Brisebois
vs TOR (Apr 2, 2004)