@ NYR (Mar 31, 2004)@ MTL (Apr 3, 2004) ›

April 2, 2004

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 20 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0022
BUF0000
Shots on goal TOR 29, BUF 17W E. BelfourL M. Biron
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .964
TOR E. Belfour 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
TOR 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
C. Kilger goal (P3 5:46), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 17%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
J. Hecht
3
SHOTS
M. Grier
22:56
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
24:48
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.964 (27/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:46C. Kilger (3) 50% to 17%-33
  2. P3 15:57Boarding on Gary Roberts, 2 min 6% to 12%+6
  3. P2 14:58Tripping on J-P Dumont, 2 min 50% to 45%-5
  4. P2 09:55Hooking on Joe Nieuwendyk, 2 min 50% to 54%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
12:25
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:03
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
9:33
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
14:27
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:34
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:33
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
22:56
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
17:24
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
21:14
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:07
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:59
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:04
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:29
#4 B. Brown (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
15:21
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:55
#34 J. Jillson (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.4
20:12
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
24:48
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.5
17:36
Total
0
0
0
6
17
2.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron281.9642.059:20L

Team Stats

TORBUF
29Shots on Goal17
4Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes8
15Hits17
6Blocked Shots13
6Giveaways17
2Takeaways6

Full Game Log

3RD
05:46GOAL (TOR): Chad Kilger (3), assists: Ron Francis, Alexander Mogilny
19:42GOAL (TOR): Joe Nieuwendyk (20), assists: Nik Antropov, Bryan McCabe
@ NYR (Mar 31, 2004)@ MTL (Apr 3, 2004) ›