vs NYI (Oct 5, 2005)@ OTT (Oct 8, 2005) ›

October 7, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

BOS 14 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS0011
BUF0224
Shots on goal BOS 36, BUF 41W R. MillerL A. Raycroft
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .972
BOS A. Raycroft .902
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
BOS 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (P2 7:05), Sabres win chance rises from 54% to 75%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
19:21
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:18
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.972 (35/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 07:05J. Dumont (2) 54% to 75%+21
  2. P2 14:00M. Grier (1) 78% to 92%+14
  3. P3 06:31G. Murray (1) 96% to 84%-12
  4. P3 15:57A. Kotalik (1) 93% to 99%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.2
15:11
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.1
18:18
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
17:00
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
1.0
13:43
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
5
1.2
17:05
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
1.2
13:08
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
1.1
18:47
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
15:42
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
20:21
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
19:40
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
15:46
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
16:45
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
12:01
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
19:21
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
1:43
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
23:18
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:59
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
20:06
Total
4
7
11
6
41
11.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller361.9722.860:00W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
36Shots on Goal41
3Power Play Chances7
0%PP%29%
71%PK%100%
0PPG2
14Penalty Minutes6
12Hits8
12Blocked Shots12
6Giveaways8
4Takeaways5

Full Game Log

2ND
07:05GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (2), assists: Thomas Vanek, Daniel Brière
14:00GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (1), assists: Chris Drury, Henrik Tallinder
3RD
06:31GOAL (BOS): Glen Murray (1), assists: Jiri Slegr, Joe Thornton
15:57GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (1), assists: Paul Gaustad, Rory Fitzpatrick
18:37GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (3), assists: Teppo Numminen
vs NYI (Oct 5, 2005)@ OTT (Oct 8, 2005) ›