vs NJD (Nov 15, 2005)@ BOS (Nov 19, 2005) ›

November 17, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

WSH 58 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH1315
BUF4228
Shots on goal WSH 39, BUF 27W M. BironL B. Johnson
Summary

WSH had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 8-5.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .872
WSH B. Johnson .704
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
WSH 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
A. Kotalik goal (P1 14:36), Sabres win chance rises from 63% to 79%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Pyatt
3 (3G)
POINTS
T. Connolly
19:44
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:04
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.872 (34/39)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 11 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 14:36A. Kotalik (9) 63% to 79%+16
  2. P1 04:06C. Clark (3) 76% to 60%-16
  3. P1 00:37B. Campbell (3) 60% to 76%+16
  4. P1 16:18T. Pyatt (1) 77% to 90%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P2 19:05
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
2
3
+2
0
1
2.0
19:44
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
3
0
3
+3
0
5
2.6
9:46
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
2
2
0
2
5
1.5
19:02
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
2
2
+3
5
0
1.4
10:25
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
-3
2
1
1.2
17:05
#51 B. Campbell (D)
2
0
2
-1
0
6
2.0
17:56
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
13:14
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
15:08
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
23:04
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
0
0.8
19:40
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.9
17:10
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.1
14:22
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
18:18
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
14:05
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.2
13:30
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+3
5
0
0.0
11:24
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
13:43
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
19:31
Total
8
11
19
26
27
14.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron395.872-0.359:57W

Team Stats

WSHBUF
39Shots on Goal27
6Power Play Chances7
17%PP%29%
71%PK%83%
1PPG2
53Penalty Minutes28
5Hits3
8Blocked Shots12
7Giveaways8
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
00:37GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (3), unassisted
04:06GOAL (WSH): Chris Clark (3), assists: Jamie Heward, Matt Pettinger
14:36GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (9), assists: Teppo Numminen, J-P Dumont
16:18GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (1), assists: Adam Mair
19:30GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (2), assists: Adam Mair, Toni Lydman
2ND
03:16GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (1), assists: Jochen Hecht, Tim Connolly
08:33GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (4), assists: Daniel Brière, Tim Connolly
11:06GOAL (WSH): Andrew Cassels (2), assists: Chris Clark, Alex Ovechkin
14:17GOAL (WSH): Brian Sutherby (2), unassisted
19:05GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (15), assists: Andrew Cassels, Brian Willsie
3RD
16:29GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (3), assists: J-P Dumont, Daniel Brière
16:54GOAL (WSH): Ben Clymer (3), assists: Brian Sutherby, Matt Bradley
18:02GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (5), unassisted
vs NJD (Nov 15, 2005)@ BOS (Nov 19, 2005) ›