vs TOR (Apr 16, 2006)

April 18, 2006

RBC Center | Raleigh

BUF 40 CAR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2024
CAR0000
Shots on goal BUF 34, CAR 33W M. BironL M. Gerber
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
CAR M. Gerber .882
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
CAR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (P1 4:55), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 66%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Brière
18:50
TOI (F)
J. McKee
22:41
TOI (D)
M. Biron
1.000 (33/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:55J. Dumont (19) 49% to 66%+17
  2. P1 17:04B. Campbell (12) 68% to 84%+16
  3. P3 04:00C. Drury (30) 94% to 99%+5
  4. P1 03:48Tripping on Josef Vasicek, 2 min 48% to 51%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
2
0
2
+1
0
3
1.8
17:07
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.8
14:59
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
+1
2
6
1.7
18:50
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
15:20
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.9
10:54
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
5
1.1
16:26
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.6
18:26
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
19:33
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.5
14:46
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
15:59
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
10:21
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
14:25
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:31
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:02
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
16:35
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
21:14
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
16:42
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
22:41
Total
4
7
11
10
34
10.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron3301.0003.359:59W

Team Stats

BUFCAR
34Shots on Goal33
7Power Play Chances5
29%PP%0%
100%PK%71%
2PPG0
10Penalty Minutes14
6Hits11
15Blocked Shots17
4Giveaways10
12Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
04:55GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (19), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Teppo Numminen
17:04GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (12), assists: Daniel Brière
3RD
04:00GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (30), assists: Mike Grier, Derek Roy
17:58GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (20), assists: Chris Drury, Daniel Brière
vs TOR (Apr 16, 2006)