vs OTT (Dec 26, 2007)@ PIT (Dec 29, 2007) ›

December 28, 2007

Prudential Center | Newark

BUF 12 NJD

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF010001
NJD001012
Shots on goal BUF 27, NJD 35W M. BrodeurL R. Miller
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .971
NJD M. Brodeur .963
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NJD 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
M. Mottau goal (P3 13:37), Sabres win chance drops from 90% to 49%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:13
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
30:14
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.971 (34/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 3:34
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 13:37M. Mottau (2) 90% to 49%-41
  2. P2 04:36A. Kotalik (12) 49% to 72%+23
  3. P3 19:00Delaying game puck over glass on John Madden, 2 min 49% to 57%+8
  4. P3 14:41Roughing on Jochen Hecht, 2 min 49% to 42%-7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
15:52
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
9:36
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.9
15:30
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
20:13
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:10
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
10:16
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
17:41
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
20:12
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
10:22
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
12:13
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.3
17:03
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:18
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
20:00
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
29:13
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
21:10
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
13:30
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
13:27
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
30:14
Total
1
2
3
6
27
4.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller351.9712.765:00O

Team Stats

BUFNJD
27Shots on Goal35
4Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes10
16Hits18
13Blocked Shots7
7Giveaways5
4Takeaways9

Full Game Log

2ND
04:36GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (12), assists: Paul Gaustad, Daniel Paille
3RD
13:37GOAL (NJD): Mike Mottau (2), assists: Colin White, Sergei Brylin
SO
00:00GOAL (NJD): Zach Parise, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
vs OTT (Dec 26, 2007)@ PIT (Dec 29, 2007) ›