@ NJD (Apr 5, 2016)@ NYI (Apr 9, 2016) ›

April 8, 2016

First Niagara Center | Buffalo

CBJ 41 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CBJ all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ1214
BUF0101
Shots on goal CBJ 30, BUF 35W J. KorpisaloL J. Kasdorf
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 1-4.

IN NET
Buffalo J. Kasdorf .867
CBJ J. Korpisalo .971
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
CBJ 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
N. Foligno goal (P2 15:16), Sabres win chance drops from 55% to 27%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
SHIFTS
Buffalo pinned 1:38 at 5v5 (typical 0:53)
Game Leaders
S. Reinhart
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Moulson
1.3
GAME SCORE
J. Eichel
21:51
TOI (F)
R. Ristolainen
27:40
TOI (D)
J. Kasdorf
.867 (26/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCBJ

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-CBJ.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won13-69-96-1228-27
Hits11-74-106-321-20
Takeaways3-23-02-28-4
Giveaways4-31-22-17-6
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.885CBJ 1.115. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFCBJ

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCBJ
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 15:16N. Foligno (12) 55% to 27%-28
  2. P2 13:37S. Reinhart (23), power play 30% to 55%+25
  3. P1 18:45M. Calvert (10), power play 53% to 34%-19
  4. P2 17:25D. Prout (3) 26% to 9%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 18:26
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2015–16 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (47, 11 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 83% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 63% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 60% when yes, 30% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 62% when yes, 27% when no

Shift Rhythm

Buffalo was pinned for 1:38 at 5v5, well above the typical 0:53 a game, and gave up 2 shot attempts in that time.

J. Eichel was out for 0:59 of it, the most on the team.

Columbus was pinned for 1:57 at 5v5, well above the typical 0:53 a game, and gave up 5 shot attempts in that time.

Buffalo sent skaters back out on short rest 42 times, well above the typical 22 a game.

J. McCabe went back out on short rest 10 times, once after only 16 seconds on the bench. In a typical game, the busiest skater does it about 4 times.

BUFCBJTypical game, 2025–26
Pinned time (5v5)1:381:570:53
Shot attempts against while pinned251
Short-rest shifts42422

When Columbus was pinned

PeriodClockPinnedSkaters (unbroken play)Attempts againstGA
P14:10 to 4:220:1200
P113:26 to 13:530:27
J. Falk 1:36
10
P21:00 to 1:030:0300
P210:39 to 10:500:1100
P219:36 to 19:510:1500

When Buffalo was pinned

PeriodClockPinnedSkaters (unbroken play)Attempts againstGA
P11:36 to 1:430:0710
P14:13 to 4:150:0200
P113:26 to 13:470:2100
P28:18 to 8:450:2710
P29:52 to 9:560:0400
How this is measured

Pinned. A team is pinned when 3 or more of its skaters on the ice are past a minute of unbroken play, at 5v5. A hemmed-in shift is an even-strength shift in which the unit was on for more than 1:00 without a whistle to change on, and stayed at even strength for most of it. A stoppage inside a shift starts the clock over, however it began: what counts is the run of play they could not get off the ice for. Only the time past the minute counts: the first minute of those shifts plays like any other stretch of the game, while past it the play tilts hard toward the end the pinned team is defending (in 2025–26, a pinned team took 24% of the shot attempts; pinned time was 1.9% of all 5v5 play). Pinned time is seconds on the clock, not each skater's seconds added up.

Short rest. An even-strength shift a skater started after less than 45 seconds on the bench, same period only (an intermission is a full rest).

Typical game. The middle value across Buffalo games in the 2025–26 regular season, counting both teams (164 team totals), so it stands in for a league-average game. This season has no measured row yet, so 2025–26 stands in. A sentence at the top only appears when a number is among the highest fifth of those, or when a goal went in while a team was pinned.

Shots at an empty net are left out of every row. None of this says why a goal went in: a unit that cannot change is pinned and tiring at the same time, so these rows describe when the danger came, not what caused it.

Shift by shift

Shift length, in order, for one Buffalo skater this game.

33 shifts, averaging 0:50. 5 hemmed-in, 7 after a short rest, 0:17 pinned.

Replay
Shift 33
Hemmed-in shiftShort rest before itGoal forGoal againstPenalty takenPower playPenalty killPeriod average and middle half of shifts (even strength)
P1avg 0:50P2avg 0:54P3avg 0:440:000:301:001:302:002:3015101520253033Shift Number

Period averages are even strength only. Typical in 2025–26: 0:45, 0:50 (the long change), 0:47.

Line Combinations

Lines and pairs at 5v5, and how they did together.

What do TOI, CF, xG% etc. mean?
GP
Games in which this exact line/pair shared the ice together at 5v5.
TOI
Time on ice together at 5v5, meaning the whole line/pair on the ice at once, not any one player's own total. Only the seconds that exact pair or trio was the unit count, which is why a pair's TOI and xG% here differ slightly from the WOWY table, where together counts every 5v5 second the two share, whoever else is on the ice.
xGF / xGA
Expected goals for/against while this combo was on the ice, from this site's own xG model.
xG%
Share of on-ice expected goals this combo earned: xGF / (xGF + xGA). The single best read on who controlled play.
GF / GA
Actual goals for/against while this combo was on the ice together.
CF / CA (Corsi For / Against, Shot Attempts)
"Corsi" is just the hockey-analytics name for total shot attempts: shots on goal, missed shots, and blocked shots combined, a volume proxy for who had the puck more. CF is this combo's own attempts, CA is the opponent's.
CF%
Share of on-ice shot attempts (Corsi) this combo earned: CF / (CF + CA).
CF% Rel
This combo's CF% minus the team's own CF% in the minutes this exact combo was NOT on the ice. Positive means the combo lifted the team's play; negative means it dragged it down.
xGF% Rel
This combo's xG% minus the team's own xG% in the minutes this exact combo was NOT on the ice. Positive means the combo lifted the team's expected-goals share; negative means it dragged it down.
FF / FA
Unblocked shot attempts (also called Fenwick): shots on goal plus misses, excluding blocks. One layer closer to real scoring chances than CF/CA.
SF / SA
Shots on goal for/against while this combo was on the ice together.
Minimum Ice Time
Drag the slider on each table down to see combos with less shared ice time. Their percentages get noisier the lower you go, since a combo that barely played together can swing to 100% or 0% off a single shot.
STRENGTH
Forward Lines
LineGPTOIGFGACFCACF%CF% RelFFFASFSA
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson112:240151623.8%-35.6%415210
Deslauriers–Reinhart–Eichel110:000211955.0%-0.9%10767
O'Reilly–Schneider–Girgensons17:54008850.0%-6.3%6443
Moulson–Reinhart–Eichel12:25005183.3%28.3%3111
Legwand–Moulson–Rodrigues12:230050100.0%45.3%4020
Pageof 1
Defense Pairs
LineGPTOIGFGACFCACF%CF% RelFFFASFSA
Gorges–Ristolainen114:2401231167.6%14.2%176105
Colaiacovo–Pysyk111:070016769.6%15.5%11575
Pysyk–McCabe17:430041225.0%-33.3%41036
Pageof 1

Three Stars

1B. SaadCBJ | LW1G 0A 1P
2N. FolignoCBJ | LW1G 0A 1P
3S. ReinhartBUF | C1G 0A 1P

Box Score

ON-ICE RATES
Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
iGAx
On-Ice
Game Score
TOI
On-Ice TOIxGF%xGF% RelCF%CF% RelFF%GF%PDOxGSGS
#15 J. Eichel (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
2
17:0957.1%+2.1%55.6%0.0%0.833
1.0
21:51
#23 S. Reinhart (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
3
15:0862.5%+9.7%61.5%0.0%0.800
1.3
19:19
#26 M. Moulson (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
7:2672.7%+21.5%80.0%1.000
1.3
10:53
#10 C. Schneider (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
12:5456.0%+0.3%68.8%1.000
0.3
12:54
#12 B. Gionta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
13:4632.1%-32.3%31.8%0.0%0.900
-0.4
16:33
#17 D. Legwand (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
7:21100.0%+51.1%100.0%
0.9
8:56
#22 J. Larsson (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
13:2929.2%-34.6%27.3%0.0%0.909
-0.4
16:37
#28 Z. Girgensons (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
13:2361.5%+7.7%70.6%1.000
0.6
16:20
#44 N. Deslauriers (LW)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
11:4557.1%+1.7%61.1%0.0%0.714
-0.1
11:55
#71 E. Rodrigues (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
10:1078.3%+28.9%83.3%1.000
1.0
10:10
#82 M. Foligno (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
14:3632.0%-31.3%28.6%0.0%0.900
-0.6
15:17
#90 R. O'Reilly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
15:4154.1%-2.7%66.7%1.000
0.4
20:34
#3 M. Pysyk (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
20:5047.6%-13.7%46.9%1.000
0.1
24:14
#4 J. Gorges (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
19:4464.3%+14.3%67.7%0.0%0.875
0.6
21:34
#25 C. Colaiacovo (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
16:3165.7%+15.0%66.7%0.0%0.750
0.3
18:48
#29 J. McCabe (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
20:1737.8%-27.8%41.9%0.0%0.929
-0.5
20:34
#47 Z. Bogosian (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
2:4433.3%-23.8%33.3%1.000
-0.1
3:31
#55 R. Ristolainen (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
21:4665.2%+16.9%70.6%0.0%0.750
0.6
27:40
Total
1
2
3
4
35
6.4

On-ice rates are 5-on-5. Rel compares to the team with that skater off the ice.

GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#33 J. Kasdorf304.867-0.460:00L

Team Stats

CBJBUF
30Shots on Goal35
11.5%Shooting % (5v5)0.0%
1.000Save % (5v5).885
1.115PDO (5v5)0.885
27 (49%)Faceoffs Won28 (51%)
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%25%
75%PK%50%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes4
20Hits21
12Blocked Shots14
6Giveaways7
4Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
18:45GOAL (CBJ): Matt Calvert (10), assists: Brandon Dubinsky, Ryan Murray(PP)
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
13:37GOAL (BUF): Sam Reinhart (23), assists: Jack Eichel, Matt Moulson(PP)
15:16GOAL (CBJ): Nick Foligno (12), assists: Boone Jenner, Josh Anderson
17:25GOAL (CBJ): Dalton Prout (3), assists: William Karlsson
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
05:11GOAL (CBJ): Brandon Saad (30), assists: Alexander Wennberg, Oliver Bjorkstrand
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
@ NJD (Apr 5, 2016)@ NYI (Apr 9, 2016) ›