Zemgus Girgensons#28

C with Buffalo, 2013–14 to 2019–20, 2021–22 to 2023–24

No. 28Shoots LHeight 6'2"Weight 200 lbsBorn January 5, 1994Hometown Riga, LVA
On-Ice Impact, 2023–24 5v5
46.0%
xGF% ON ICE
49.9%
CF% ON ICE

On-ice PDO 1.003 (5v5 on-ice shooting plus save percentage). PDO over one season is noisy, it regresses hard toward 1.000, so read it as recent puck luck rather than a skill.

Buffalo's 5v5 xGF% rose most with Bryson (+23.4) and fell most with Rousek (-33.2).

See the full teammate breakdown
Recent Form
Last 10
Last 20
Points
1 to 6
2Cold
7 
Individual xG
0.07 to 0.13
0.08Cold
0.09 
On-Ice xGF%
40.0% to 60.9%
48.3%Steady
46.4% 
Game Score
-0.18 to 0.74
-0.01Cold
0.24 

Each line is the metric's rolling 10-game value across the last 20 games, so it ends on the Last 10 figure. The dashed line is the player's season average (50% for On-Ice xGF%), with navy shading for time spent above it and gray for below. Gold ticks mark goal games. Descriptive only, small samples swing.

Playoffs

Career With Buffalo

688 games, 10 seasons
89
G
47th all-time
99
A
70th all-time
188
PTS
57th all-time
192
PIM
106th all-time
14:15
TOI/G

All-time is the rank among the 529 skaters with a regular-season game for Buffalo since 1970–71. Ties share a rank.

Season by Season

Chart:
Drag to zoom

These stats don’t share a natural scale, so each line is normalized to its own 0-100% range for shape comparison. Hover a point for its real value.

08152013201420152016201720182019202120222023SeasonGoalsaging curve

The dashed line is a league-typical aging curve for a forward, scaled to this player's own level. Above it means producing more than a typical player that age; the line falling away faster than the curve means declining faster than the aging curve alone would explain.

SeasonAgeGPGAPTS+/-PIMPen +/-/60PPSHGWGSOGS%FO%TOI/GP/60ixGxG/60GAxCF%FF%GF%xG%PDO
2013–14197081422-614+0.670111157.0%41.7%15:191.2344.7%46.0%43.1%0.989
2014–152061151530-1625+0.5713111513.0%44.0%19:051.5535.5%36.6%37.3%0.995
2015–16217171118020+1.011011106.4%45.7%15:021.0149.1%48.6%54.8%1.011
2016–1722757916-718+0.670001126.3%47.1%13:10
0.97
20th pct
10.9
0.66
39th pct
-3.9
11th pct
46.7%
31st pct
46.1%42.9%48.3%0.990
2017–1823717815-1226+0.250201136.2%36.5%13:43
0.92
18th pct
9.6
0.59
27th pct
-2.6
19th pct
48.5%
39th pct
47.2%38.9%45.8%0.975
2018–19247251318-1117+0.31000786.4%40.6%13:37
1.10
25th pct
8.2
0.50
15th pct
-3.2
16th pct
49.3%
44th pct
49.0%41.1%46.4%0.979
2019–20*256912719-110+0.060118514.1%41.1%13:48
1.20
31st pct
11.5
0.73
53rd pct
+0.5
63rd pct
49.0%
39th pct
48.9%45.8%47.8%0.995
2021–22275610818-727+0.073019210.9%49.8%14:47
1.30
36th pct
9.0
0.65
38th pct
+1.0
71st pct
48.5%
40th pct
48.8%44.2%45.4%0.990
2022–23288010818-514+0.400001148.8%45.4%12:59
1.04
22nd pct
14.0
0.81
60th pct
-4.0
10th pct
52.0%
85th pct
52.3%42.0%49.9%0.973
2023–2429638614-121+0.160037311.0%47.7%11:51
1.13
28th pct
7.0
0.57
24th pct
+1.0
70th pct
49.9%
67th pct
49.3%50.0%46.0%1.003
Total6888999188-6619257810078.8%14:151.15

* Shortened season. Weigh its totals against a full 82-game year with that in mind.

pct under a P/60, xG/60, GAx and CF% figure is where that season ranks, as a percentile, among every Sabres forward season since 2016–17 with at least 12 games; a season under that floor isn't ranked. xG/60, GAx and CF% come from this site's own xG model and shift-chart reconstruction, not an NHL feed; P/60 is from official NHL totals. Higher is better throughout.

Actual vs Expected

One row per season: the gold dot is the expected total, the navy dot is what actually happened.

xGGoals
04812162016–172016–17: 10.9 xG2016–17: 7 Goals (-3.9 vs expected)7 / 10.92017–182017–18: 9.6 xG2017–18: 7 Goals (-2.6 vs expected)7 / 9.62018–192018–19: 8.2 xG2018–19: 5 Goals (-3.2 vs expected)5 / 8.22019–202019–20: 11.5 xG2019–20: 12 Goals (+0.5 vs expected)12 / 11.52021–222021–22: 9.0 xG2021–22: 10 Goals (+1.0 vs expected)10 / 9.02022–232022–23: 14.0 xG2022–23: 10 Goals (-4.0 vs expected)10 / 14.02023–242023–24: 7.0 xG2023–24: 8 Goals (+1.0 vs expected)8 / 7.0

Shot Map

Every shot attempt across every season shown here, to scale, always attacking right. Pick one season to see that year alone, or leave it on Career for the full picture.

xG range
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

With or Without You

Buffalo's 5v5 shot-attempt (CF%) and expected-goal (xGF%) share with Girgensons on the ice, split by whether each teammate was out there too. Δ is the with-minus-apart gap: a positive number means the pair drove play better together than Girgensons did without that teammate. That gap is always measured from the named player's side, so the same pair can read positive on one player's table and negative on the other's. 2023–24 regular season, minimum 20:00 together. Together counts every 5v5 second the two share, whoever else is on the ice, so a pair's time and xGF% here differ slightly from the Line Combinations table, which counts only the seconds that exact pair or trio was the unit.

Teammate
TOGETHER
GIRGENSONS APART
IMPACT
TOI TogetherCF%xGF%CF%xGF%Δ CF%Δ xGF%
Okposo
275:0151.3%39.1%
48.9%50.5%
+2.4-11.4
Dahlin
249:1753.9%48.8%
47.5%44.5%
+6.4+4.3
Krebs
233:2453.3%46.4%
47.9%45.7%
+5.4+0.7
Clifton
220:3850.1%48.3%
49.8%45.0%
+0.3+3.3
Jokiharju
192:4245.5%37.1%
51.7%49.7%
-6.2-12.6
Power
188:5147.5%43.0%
50.9%47.3%
-3.4-4.3
Robinson
181:3752.8%53.7%
48.5%42.7%
+4.3+11.0
Jost
115:0943.0%47.8%
51.2%45.5%
-8.2+2.3
Johnson
114:2545.8%43.3%
50.7%46.6%
-4.9-3.3
Olofsson
112:2842.0%46.9%
51.7%45.7%
-9.7+1.2
Bryson
107:2245.8%66.8%
50.6%43.4%
-4.8+23.4
Samuelsson
89:4853.3%45.5%
49.3%46.0%
+4.0-0.5
Johnson
85:4662.2%49.9%
48.1%45.2%
+14.1+4.7
Tuch
80:0754.4%57.2%
49.3%44.3%
+5.1+12.9
Thompson
73:0055.2%49.6%
49.3%45.4%
+5.9+4.2
Byram
67:0746.3%42.1%
50.4%46.7%
-4.1-4.6
Greenway
49:5354.5%64.3%
49.6%44.7%
+4.9+19.6
Cozens
39:5543.4%24.2%
50.3%47.8%
-6.9-23.6
Rousek
32:4129.4%13.7%
50.8%46.9%
-21.4-33.2
Peterka
31:3228.3%25.7%
50.8%47.5%
-22.5-21.8
Mittelstadt
30:5758.8%55.3%
49.5%45.6%
+9.3+9.7
Benson
24:4647.5%37.7%
50.0%46.3%
-2.5-8.6
Quinn
21:3270.7%65.5%
49.2%45.4%
+21.5+20.1
Skinner
21:1143.9%52.7%
50.1%45.7%
-6.2+7.0

Shift Rhythm Profile

How Girgensons's shift length lines up with on-ice results, 2023–24 regular season. A shift under 0:30 is a quick change, usually right off a whistle. 0:30 to 0:45 is a short shift and 0:45 to 1:00 a typical one. 1:00 or more is a long shift, more likely during a delayed line change, a d-zone lockdown, or a penalty kill that ran long. Shift length is an outcome before it is a cause: a shift runs long because the unit could not change. Most of a long shift is ordinary play, though; the stretch past the one-minute mark is where a unit is really pinned, and each game page counts that time on its own. Empty-net goals against are left out.

102 of 151 of Girgensons's shifts over a minute were hemmed-in shifts (mostly even strength, more than 60 seconds of unbroken play).

Shift LengthShiftsCF%xG%GFGA
Quick (<0:30)24539.4%35.9%411
Short (0:30-0:45)35850.6%41.5%98
Typical (0:45-1:00)30649.7%44.7%35
Long (1:00+)15141.5%43.7%74
0:42
AVG SHIFT
36
PP SHIFTS
128
PK SHIFTS
+2s
LONG-CHANGE GAP
102
HEMMED-IN SHIFTS
23
SHORT-REST SHIFTS