@ MTL (Apr 1, 2000)@ NJD (Apr 6, 2000) ›

April 3, 2000

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 23 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR2002
BUF3003
Shots on goal TOR 20, BUF 29W D. HasekL C. Joseph
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .900
TOR C. Joseph .897
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
TOR 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Ward goal (P1 15:17), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 71%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Ward
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Peca
20:24
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:05
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.900 (18/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 14 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 15:17D. Ward (11) 50% to 71%+21
  2. P1 08:53S. Berezin (26) 70% to 51%-19
  3. P1 08:16M. Peca (19) 51% to 70%+19
  4. P1 05:20M. Satan (33) 32% to 51%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
11:49
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.2
14:40
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
0
2
3
1.0
20:24
#29 V. Tsyplakov (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
13:02
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
15:13
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
17:42
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.0
12:24
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.3
18:46
#93 D. Gilmour (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
1.0
18:18
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
12:28
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:35
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
15:36
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
13:43
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
21:16
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
16:29
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
17:45
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
24:05
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
19:48
Total
3
6
9
6
29
9.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek202.9000.359:57W

Team Stats

TORBUF
20Shots on Goal29
3Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes16
19Hits28
12Blocked Shots16
27Giveaways27
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
04:24GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (31), assists: Alexander Karpovtsev, Steve Thomas
05:20GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (33), assists: Doug Gilmour, Curtis Brown
08:16GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (19), assists: Vaclav Varada, Vladimir Tsyplakov
08:53GOAL (TOR): Sergei Berezin (26), assists: Nik Antropov, Cory Cross
15:17GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (11), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Stu Barnes
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