@ CAR (Mar 21, 2001)@ ATL (Mar 26, 2001) ›

March 24, 2001

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CAR 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR0011
BUF0033
Shots on goal CAR 23, BUF 22W D. HasekL A. Irbe
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .957
CAR A. Irbe .905
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
CAR 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
S. Barnes goal (P3 1:09), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 83%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
E. Rasmussen
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
S. Barnes
4
SHOTS
S. Barnes
18:53
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:00
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.957 (22/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 41 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 01:09S. Barnes (19) 55% to 83%+28
  2. P3 07:21E. Rasmussen (11) 86% to 97%+11
  3. P3 15:59D. Karpa (4) 100% to 94%-6
  4. P2 18:58Slashing on Bates Battaglia, 2 min 55% to 60%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2000–01 regular season (82 games).

Wins (46)Losses (31, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 79% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 80% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 83% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 75% when yes, 31% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.7
14:15
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.2
23:00
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.9
16:13
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
18:53
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
18:00
#93 D. Gilmour (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
13:58
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.6
17:57
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
13:53
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
11:48
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
17:14
#52 D. Andreychuk (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:32
#57 S. Heinze (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
15:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:47
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:54
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
19:18
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
20:23
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
18:11
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
19:27
Total
3
6
9
8
22
8.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek231.9571.559:51W

Team Stats

CARBUF
23Shots on Goal22
3Power Play Chances3
33%PP%0%
100%PK%67%
1PPG0
8Penalty Minutes8
20Hits26
15Blocked Shots10
20Giveaways17
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

3RD
01:09GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (19), assists: Donald Audette, Alexei Zhitnik
07:21GOAL (BUF): Erik Rasmussen (11), assists: Doug Gilmour, Dmitri Kalinin
15:59GOAL (CAR): Dave Karpa (4), assists: Sandis Ozolinsh, Rod Brind'Amour
19:50GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (24), assists: Erik Rasmussen, Alexei Zhitnik
@ CAR (Mar 21, 2001)@ ATL (Mar 26, 2001) ›