vs STL (Jan 23, 2002)@ WSH (Jan 27, 2002) ›

January 25, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 14 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL0101
BUF2204
Shots on goal TBL 22, BUF 33W M. BironL N. Khabibulin
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .955
TBL N. Khabibulin .879
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
TBL 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. Pyatt goal (P1 11:58), Sabres win chance rises from 57% to 76%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Pyatt
2 (2G)
POINTS
C. Brown
22:35
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:32
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.955 (21/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 12 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 11:58T. Pyatt (2) 57% to 76%+19
  2. P1 13:01C. Brown (12) 76% to 89%+13
  3. P2 09:02M. Afinogenov (16) 92% to 98%+6
  4. P2 08:19Fighting on Rob Ray, 5 min 92% to 87%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.3
11:22
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
2
0
2
+3
2
3
1.9
12:57
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
17:20
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.2
22:35
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
8
1.5
13:50
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
12:22
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
1.0
25:32
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
17:16
#19 N. Milley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
11:17
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:23
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
6:19
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.1
5:26
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
18:33
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
20:11
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
14:40
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
16:34
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
6
0
-0.4
19:12
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
22:12
Total
4
6
10
19
33
9.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron221.9551.459:59W

Team Stats

TBLBUF
22Shots on Goal33
6Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
17Penalty Minutes19
9Hits24
13Blocked Shots13
10Giveaways9
4Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
11:58GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (2), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Tim Connolly
13:01GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (12), unassisted
2ND
09:02GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (16), assists: Tim Connolly, Jay McKee
13:16GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (3), assists: J-P Dumont, Chris Gratton
13:58GOAL (TBL): Freddy Modin (14), assists: Brad Richards, Dan Boyle
vs STL (Jan 23, 2002)@ WSH (Jan 27, 2002) ›